Adapting Conformal Prediction to Distribution Shifts Without Labels

K Kasa, Z Zhang, H Yang, GW Taylor - arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.01416, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction (CP) enables machine learning models to output prediction sets with
guaranteed coverage rate, assuming exchangeable data. Unfortunately, the exchangeability …

Investigating normalized conformal regressors

U Johansson, H Boström… - 2021 IEEE Symposium …, 2021 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Conformal prediction can be applied on top of any machine learning predictive regression
model, thus turning it into a conformal regressor. Given a significance level ϵ, conformal …

Batch multivalid conformal prediction

C Jung, G Noarov, R Ramalingam, A Roth - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2022 - arxiv.org
We develop fast distribution-free conformal prediction algorithms for obtaining multivalid
coverage on exchangeable data in the batch setting. Multivalid coverage guarantees are …

TorchCP: A Library for Conformal Prediction based on PyTorch

H Wei, J Huang - arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.12683, 2024 - arxiv.org
TorchCP is a Python toolbox for conformal prediction research on deep learning models. It
contains various implementations for posthoc and training methods for classification and …

A novel Deep Learning approach for one-step Conformal Prediction approximation

JA Meister, KA Nguyen, S Kapetanakis… - Annals of Mathematics and …, 2023 - Springer
Deep Learning predictions with measurable confidence are increasingly desirable for real-
world problems, especially in high-risk settings. The Conformal Prediction (CP) framework is …

Optimized conformal classification using gradient descent approximation

A Bellotti - arXiv preprint arXiv:2105.11255, 2021 - arxiv.org
Conformal predictors are an important class of algorithms that allow predictions to be made
with a user-defined confidence level. They are able to do this by outputting prediction sets …

An Information Theoretic Perspective on Conformal Prediction

AHC Correia, FV Massoli, C Louizos… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal Prediction (CP) is a distribution-free uncertainty estimation framework that
constructs prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true answer with a user-specified …

Conformal Prediction with Learned Features

S Kiyani, G Pappas, H Hassani - arXiv preprint arXiv:2404.17487, 2024 - arxiv.org
In this paper, we focus on the problem of conformal prediction with conditional guarantees.
Prior work has shown that it is impossible to construct nontrivial prediction sets with full …

Informativeness of Weighted Conformal Prediction

M Ying, W Guo, K Khamaru, Y Hung - arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.06479, 2024 - arxiv.org
Weighted conformal prediction (WCP), a recently proposed framework, provides uncertainty
quantification with the flexibility to accommodate different covariate distributions between …

From Conformal Predictions to Confidence Regions

C Guille-Escuret, E Ndiaye - arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.18601, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of
uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model …