Localized conformal prediction: A generalized inference framework for conformal prediction

L Guan - Biometrika, 2023 - academic.oup.com
We propose a new inference framework called localized conformal prediction. It generalizes
the framework of conformal prediction by offering a single-test-sample adaptive construction …

Conformal Predictions for Longitudinal Data

D Batra, S Mercuri, R Khraishi - arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.02863, 2023 - arxiv.org
We introduce Longitudinal Predictive Conformal Inference (LPCI), a novel distribution-free
conformal prediction algorithm for longitudinal data. Current conformal prediction …

Conformal Prediction via Regression-as-Classification

E Guha, S Natarajan, T Möllenhoff, ME Khan… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output
distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed …

Identifying Homogeneous and Interpretable Groups for Conformal Prediction

N Martinez, DC Patel, C Reddy… - The 40th Conference on … - openreview.net
Conformal prediction methods are a tool for uncertainty quantification of a model's
prediction, providing a model-agnostic and distribution-free statistical wrapper that …

Selective conformal inference with false coverage-statement rate control

Y Bao, Y Huo, H Ren, C Zou - Biometrika, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Conformal inference is a popular tool for constructing prediction intervals. We consider here
the scenario of post-selection/selective conformal inference, that is, prediction intervals are …

Synergy conformal prediction

N Gauraha, O Spjuth - Conformal and Probabilistic …, 2021 - proceedings.mlr.press
Conformal prediction is a machine learning methodology that produces valid prediction
regions. Ensembles of conformal predictors have been proposed to improve the …

PAC-Bayes generalization certificates for learned inductive conformal prediction

A Sharma, S Veer, A Hancock… - Advances in …, 2024 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Abstract Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP) provides a practical and effective approach for
equipping deep learning models with uncertainty estimates in the form of set-valued …

Conformal prediction for multi-dimensional time series by ellipsoidal sets

C Xu, H Jiang, Y Xie - arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.03850, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction (CP) has been a popular method for uncertainty quantification
because it is distribution-free, model-agnostic, and theoretically sound. For forecasting …

Probabilistic conformal prediction using conditional random samples

Z Wang, R Gao, M Yin, M Zhou, DM Blei - arXiv preprint arXiv:2206.06584, 2022 - arxiv.org
This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference
algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs …

[PDF][PDF] Communication-efficient Conformal Prediction for Distributed Datasets

N Riquelme-Granada, Z Luo… - Conformal and …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
Coresets have been proven useful in accelerating the computation of inductive conformal
predictors (ICP) when the training data becomes large in size. This work shows that …