Normalizing Flows for Conformal Regression

N Colombo - arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.03346, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal Prediction (CP) algorithms estimate the uncertainty of a prediction model by
calibrating its outputs on labeled data. The same calibration scheme usually applies to any …

Adaboost-based conformal prediction with high efficiency

Y Zhang, J Xu, H Cheng - International Journal of High …, 2019 - inderscienceonline.com
Conformal prediction presents a novel idea whose error rate is provably controlled by given
significant levels. So the remaining goal of conformal prediction is its efficiency. High …

Cross-conformal prediction with ridge regression

H Papadopoulos - Statistical Learning and Data Sciences: Third …, 2015 - Springer
Abstract Cross-Conformal Prediction (CCP) is a recently proposed approach for overcoming
the computational inefficiency problem of Conformal Prediction (CP) without sacrificing as …

Model-free bootstrap and conformal prediction in regression: Conditionality, conjecture testing, and pertinent prediction intervals

Y Wang, DN Politis - arXiv preprint arXiv:2109.12156, 2021 - arxiv.org
Predictive inference under a general regression setting is gaining more interest in the big-
data era. In terms of going beyond point prediction to develop prediction intervals, two main …

A review of nonconformity measures for conformal prediction in regression

Y Kato, DMJ Tax, M Loog - Conformal and Probabilistic …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Conformal prediction provides distribution-free uncertainty quantification under minimal
assumptions. An important ingredient in conformal prediction is the so-called nonconformity …

Does Confidence Calibration Help Conformal Prediction?

H Xi, J Huang, L Feng, H Wei - arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.04344, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction, as an emerging uncertainty qualification technique, constructs
prediction sets that are guaranteed to contain the true label with high probability. Previous …

Efficient and minimal length parametric conformal prediction regions

DJ Eck, FW Crawford - arXiv preprint arXiv:1905.03657, 2019 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction methods construct prediction regions for iid data that are valid in finite
samples. We provide two parametric conformal prediction regions that are applicable for a …

Modular conformal calibration

C Marx, S Zhao, W Neiswanger… - … on Machine Learning, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
Uncertainty estimates must be calibrated (ie, accurate) and sharp (ie, informative) in order to
be useful. This has motivated a variety of methods for recalibration, which use held-out data …

Training-Conditional Coverage Bounds under Covariate Shift

M Pournaderi, Y Xiang - arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.16594, 2024 - arxiv.org
Training-conditional coverage guarantees in conformal prediction concern the concentration
of the error distribution, conditional on the training data, below some nominal level. The …

[PDF][PDF] Conformal prediction is robust to dispersive label noise

S Feldman, BS Einbinder, S Bates… - Conformal and …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
In most supervised classification and regression tasks, one would assume the provided
labels reflect the ground truth. In reality, this assumption is often violated; see Cheng et …