Anticipating the unanticipated-unintended consequences of scientific and technological purposive actions

BE Tonn, D Stiefel - World Futures Review, 2019 - journals.sagepub.com
As science and technology change our world, anticipating the unintended consequences
becomes critical. This article presents a framework for identifying unintended consequences …

Anticipatory interventions and the co-evolution of nanotechnology and society

H Te Kulve - 2011 - research.utwente.nl
In contrast with earlier emerging technologies, in the case of nanotechnology there is a lot of
anticipation sourrounding how it might, or should, become embedded in society. These …

What can past technology forecasts tell us about the future?

RE Albright - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2002 - Elsevier
Past forecasts of technical innovations include lessons that can be used in making forecasts
today. A review of Herman Kahn and Anthony Wiener's “One Hundred Technical Innovations …

The impact pulse and restoration curves: Going beyond mitigation and stabilization

A Dorr - Anthropocene, 2016 - Elsevier
Mitigation measures proposed as a response to the carbon and climate problem represent
only the first half of a complete solution. Proactively repairing the damage through …

[图书][B] The Unintended Consequences of Technology: Solutions, Breakthroughs, and the Restart We Need

C Ategeka - 2021 - books.google.com
Discover the technologies and trends that threaten humanity and our planet---and how we
can rein them back in, together In The Unintended Consequences of Technology: Solutions …

Emergent technologies, divergent frames: differences in regulator vs. developer views on innovation

JM Keisler, BD Trump, E Wells, I Linkov - European Journal of Futures …, 2021 - Springer
Technology innovation is inherently uncertain. The risk–benefit divide for such innovation is
a classical debate within scholarly literature and is often framed on a monetary scale where …

[PDF][PDF] Anticipating Technologically-Derived Risk

EW Lawless - Impact Assessment, 1982 - Taylor & Francis
Risk analyses have been performed for a wide range of hazards. Some have been highly
quantitative calculations of mathematical probabilities; others have been more qualitative …

Into blue skies—a transdisciplinary foresight and co-creation method for adding robustness to visioneering

N Gudowsky, M Sotoudeh - NanoEthics, 2017 - Springer
Expectations play a distinctive role in shaping emerging technologies and producing hype
cycles when a technology is adopted or fails on the market. To harness expectations …

[图书][B] The technology trap: where human error and malevolence meet powerful technologies

LJ Dumas - 2010 - books.google.com
In this eye-opening book, author Lloyd J. Dumas argues that our capacity for developing
ever more powerful technologies and the unavoidable fallibility of both machine and man …

Why technology forecasts often fail

N Rosenberg - The Futurist, 1995 - search.proquest.com
Uncertainty about future impacts of an innovation comes from several sources, and it does
not disappear even after a new technology is introduced commercially. Much of the difficulty …