Human judgment, an almost inextricable ingredient in demand forecasting, introduces many unintentional and intentional biases to the forecasting and operations planning process. In …
C Crews - Research-Technology Management, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
Overview: Machine learning applications in business that return forecasts or predictions of future market or consumer behavior must pay attention to nontechnical aspects of how those …
Back in October 2002, the National Intelligence Council issued its official opinion that Iraq possessed chemical and biological weapons and was actively producing more weapons of …
To navigate turbulent business environments, organizations have to develop foresight capacities that enable them to anticipate probable futures, respond rapidly to emerging …
P Raspin, S Terjesen - Business Strategy Series, 2007 - emerald.com
Purpose–Firms face uncertain environments characterized by shifting demographics, disruptive technologies, new industries and competitors, and other challenges. To survive …
We explore the relationship between foresight and managerial cognition and the contribution of foresight to the long‐term performance of organizations facing major sources …
R Rohrbeck, M Etingue Kum, T Jissink… - Tymen and Gordon …, 2018 - papers.ssrn.com
Future Preparedness is shown to be a factor strongly influencing mid-term future firm performance, and such preparedness can be achieved via the systematic application of …
R Rohrbeck, ME Kum - Technological Forecasting and social change, 2018 - Elsevier
Corporate foresight is applied with the expectation that it will help firms to break away from path dependency, help decision makers to define superior courses of action, and ultimately …
O Stavrova, AM Evans - Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Confident business forecasters are seen as more credible and competent (“confidence heuristic”). We explored a boundary condition of this effect by examining how individuals …