KJ McConway - Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1981 - Taylor & Francis
Suppose a decision maker has asked a group of experts to assess subjective probability distributions over some space, and he wishes to find a consensus probability distribution as …
C Genest, S Weerahandi, JV Zidek - Theory and decision, 1984 - search.proquest.com
The analysis reported in this paper shares with those of McConway (1981), Bordley (1982), Wagner (1982) and Aczél and Saaty (1983) the goal of determining a sensible formula for …
C Genest, KJ McConway, MJ Schervish - The Annals of Statistics, 1986 - JSTOR
When a panel of experts is asked to provide some advice in the form of a group probability distribution, the question arises as to whether they should synthesize their opinions before …
WD Fisher - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1953 - JSTOR
A problem is posed of how to divide a set of K independent random variables into a smaller number of mutually exclusive groups so that the groups are homogeneous. Following some …
M Stone - The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 1961 - JSTOR
When a group of k individuals is required to make a joint decision, it occasionally happens that there is agreement on a utility function for the problem but that opinions differ on the …
GL Gilardoni, MK Clayton - The Annals of Statistics, 1993 - projecteuclid.org
We consider a group of k experts each having a subjective probability distribution for a parameter $\theta $. If the members of the group are allowed to know the others' opinions …
Suppose several individuals (eg, experts on a panel) each assign probabilities to some events. How can these individual probability assignments be aggregated into a single …
The question of how the probabilistic opinions of different individuals should be aggregated to form a group opinion is controversial. But one assumption seems to be pretty much …
How can several individuals' probability functions on a given σ σ-algebra of events be aggregated into a collective probability function? Classic approaches to this problem usually …