Adaptive conformal prediction by reweighting nonconformity score

SI Amoukou, NJB Brunel - arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.12695, 2023 - arxiv.org
Despite attractive theoretical guarantees and practical successes, Predictive Interval (PI)
given by Conformal Prediction (CP) may not reflect the uncertainty of a given model. This …

Optimized conformal classification using gradient descent approximation

A Bellotti - arXiv preprint arXiv:2105.11255, 2021 - arxiv.org
Conformal predictors are an important class of algorithms that allow predictions to be made
with a user-defined confidence level. They are able to do this by outputting prediction sets …

Conformal prediction with local weights: randomization enables local guarantees

R Hore, RF Barber - arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.07850, 2023 - arxiv.org
In this work, we consider the problem of building distribution-free prediction intervals with
finite-sample conditional coverage guarantees. Conformal prediction (CP) is an increasingly …

Approximating full conformal prediction at scale via influence functions

J Abad, U Bhatt, A Weller, G Cherubin - arXiv preprint arXiv:2202.01315, 2022 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction (CP) is a wrapper around traditional machine learning models, giving
coverage guarantees under the sole assumption of exchangeability; in classification …

Approximating full conformal prediction at scale via influence functions

JA Martinez, U Bhatt, A Weller… - Proceedings of the AAAI …, 2023 - ojs.aaai.org
Conformal prediction (CP) is a wrapper around traditional machine learning models, giving
coverage guarantees under the sole assumption of exchangeability; in classification …

Effective utilization of data in inductive conformal prediction

T Löfström, U Johansson, H Boström - … , Dallas, TX, USA, August 4-9 …, 2013 - diva-portal.org
Conformal prediction is a new framework produc-ing region predictions with a guaranteed
error rate. Inductive conformal prediction (ICP) was designed to significantly reduce the …

Conformal prediction with conditional guarantees

I Gibbs, JJ Cherian, EJ Candès - arXiv preprint arXiv:2305.12616, 2023 - arxiv.org
We consider the problem of constructing distribution-free prediction sets with finite-sample
conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to provide exact …

Conformal Prediction with Learned Features

S Kiyani, G Pappas, H Hassani - arXiv preprint arXiv:2404.17487, 2024 - arxiv.org
In this paper, we focus on the problem of conformal prediction with conditional guarantees.
Prior work has shown that it is impossible to construct nontrivial prediction sets with full …

PUNCC: a Python Library for Predictive Uncertainty Calibration and Conformalization

M Mendil, L Mossina… - Conformal and …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Abstract Predictive UNcertainty Calibration and Conformalization (PUNCC) is an open-
source Python library integrating a collection of state-of-the-art Conformal Prediction (CP) …

Post-selection inference for conformal prediction: Trading off coverage for precision

S Sarkar, AK Kuchibhotla - arXiv preprint arXiv:2304.06158, 2023 - arxiv.org
Conformal inference has played a pivotal role in providing uncertainty quantification for
black-box ML prediction algorithms with finite sample guarantees. Traditionally, conformal …