Assessing uncertainty propagation in hybrid models for daily streamflow simulation based on arbitrary polynomial chaos expansion

P Zhou, C Li, Z Li, Y Cai - Advances in Water Resources, 2022 - Elsevier
Accurate streamflow prediction is of significant importance in watershed management and
has been attracting a lot of research interest. Hybrid hydrological models that employ …

Toward an efficient uncertainty quantification of streamflow predictions using sparse polynomial chaos expansion

VN Tran, J Kim - Water, 2021 - mdpi.com
Reliable hydrologic models are essential for planning, designing, and management of water
resources. However, predictions by hydrological models are prone to errors due to a variety …

A polynomial chaos ensemble hydrologic prediction system for efficient parameter inference and robust uncertainty assessment

S Wang, GH Huang, BW Baetz, W Huang - Journal of Hydrology, 2015 - Elsevier
This paper presents a polynomial chaos ensemble hydrologic prediction system (PCEHPS)
for an efficient and robust uncertainty assessment of model parameters and predictions, in …

Parametric uncertainty assessment in hydrological modeling using the generalized polynomial chaos expansion

J Hu, S Chen, A Behrangi, H Yuan - Journal of Hydrology, 2019 - Elsevier
An integrated framework is proposed for parametric uncertainty analysis in hydrological
modeling using a generalized polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) approach. PCE …

Propagation of parameter uncertainty in SWAT: A probabilistic forecasting method based on polynomial chaos expansion and machine learning

M Ghaith, Z Li - Journal of Hydrology, 2020 - Elsevier
Abstract Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) is one of the most widely used semi-
distributed hydrological models. Assessment of the uncertainties in SWAT outputs is a …

Uncertainty analysis for hydrological models with interdependent parameters: an improved polynomial chaos expansion approach

M Ghaith, Z Li, BW Baetz - Water Resources Research, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The use of polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) has gained a lot of attention due to its ability
to efficiently estimate the effects of parameter uncertainty on model outputs. The traditional …

Towards robust quantification and reduction of uncertainty in hydrologic predictions: Integration of particle Markov chain Monte Carlo and factorial polynomial chaos …

S Wang, GH Huang, BW Baetz, BC Ancell - Journal of Hydrology, 2017 - Elsevier
The particle filtering techniques have been receiving increasing attention from the
hydrologic community due to its ability to properly estimate model parameters and states of …

Development of clustered polynomial chaos expansion model for stochastic hydrological prediction

F Wang, GH Huang, Y Fan, YP Li - Journal of Hydrology, 2021 - Elsevier
This study introduced a clustered polynomial chaos expansion (CPCE) model to reveal
random propagation and dynamic sensitivity of uncertainty parameters in hydrologic …

Simulation–optimization framework for multi-season hybrid stochastic models

RK Srivastav, K Srinivasan, KP Sudheer - Journal of Hydrology, 2011 - Elsevier
A novel simulation–optimization framework is proposed that enables the automation of the
hybrid stochastic modeling process for synthetic generation of multi-season streamflows …

Multi-model ensemble hydrologic prediction and uncertainties analysis

S Jiang, L Ren, X Yang, M Ma… - Proceedings of the …, 2014 - piahs.copernicus.org
Modelling uncertainties (ie input errors, parameter uncertainties and model structural errors)
inevitably exist in hydrological prediction. A lot of recent attention has focused on these, of …