An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

SC Sherwood, MJ Webb, JD Annan… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …

[HTML][HTML] Objectively combining climate sensitivity evidence

N Lewis - Climate Dynamics, 2023 - Springer
Recent assessments of climate sensitivity per doubling of atmospheric CO 2 concentration
have combined likelihoods derived from multiple lines of evidence. These assessments …

Implications for climate sensitivity from the response to individual forcings

K Marvel, GA Schmidt, RL Miller… - Nature Climate Change, 2016 - nature.com
Climate sensitivity to doubled CO2 is a widely used metric for the large-scale response to
external forcing. Climate models predict a wide range for two commonly used definitions: the …

Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity

R Knutti, MAA Rugenstein, GC Hegerl - Nature Geoscience, 2017 - nature.com
Equilibrium climate sensitivity characterizes the Earth's long-term global temperature
response to increased atmospheric CO2 concentration. It has reached almost iconic status …

Feedbacks, climate sensitivity and the limits of linear models

R Knutti, MAA Rugenstein - Philosophical Transactions of …, 2015 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The term 'feedback'is used ubiquitously in climate research, but implies varied meanings in
different contexts. From a specific process that locally affects a quantity, to a formal …

Using multiple observationally‐based constraints to estimate climate sensitivity

JD Annan, JC Hargreaves - Geophysical Research Letters, 2006 - Wiley Online Library
Climate sensitivity has been subjectively estimated to be likely to lie in the range of 1.5–4.5°
C, and this uncertainty contributes a substantial part of the total uncertainty in climate …

Constraining climate forecasts: The role of prior assumptions

DJ Frame, BBB Booth, JA Kettleborough… - Geophysical …, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
Any attempt to estimate climate sensitivity using observations requires a set of models or
model‐versions that simultaneously predict both climate sensitivity and some observable …

Inference of climate sensitivity from analysis of Earth's energy budget

PM Forster - Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 2016 - annualreviews.org
Recent attempts to diagnose equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from changes in Earth's
energy budget point toward values at the low end of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate …

Climate sensitivity estimated from temperature reconstructions of the Last Glacial Maximum

A Schmittner, NM Urban, JD Shakun, NM Mahowald… - Science, 2011 - science.org
Assessing the impact of future anthropogenic carbon emissions is currently impeded by
uncertainties in our knowledge of equilibrium climate sensitivity to atmospheric carbon …

Prospects for narrowing bounds on Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity

B Stevens, SC Sherwood, S Bony, MJ Webb - Earth's Future, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
The concept of Earth's Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) is reviewed. A particular
problem in quantifying plausible bounds for ECS has been how to account for all of the …