Suppose several individuals (eg, experts on a panel) each assign probabilities to some
events. How can these individual probability assignments be aggregated into a single …

The question of how the probabilistic opinions of different individuals should be aggregated
to form a group opinion is controversial. But one assumption seems to be pretty much …

How can several individuals' probability assignments to some events be aggregated into a
collective probability assignment? Classic results on this problem assume that the set of …

The analysis reported in this paper shares with those of McConway (1981), Bordley (1982),
Wagner (1982) and Aczél and Saaty (1983) the goal of determining a sensible formula for …

Linear and log-linear pools are widely used methods for aggregating expert belief. This
paper frames the expert aggregation problem as a decision problem with scoring rules. We …

The aggregation of consistent individual judgments on logically interconnected propositions
into a collective judgment on those propositions has recently drawn much attention …

Given the judgments of multiple voters regarding some issue, it is generally assumed that
the best way to arrive at some collective judgment is by following the majority. We consider …

Summarizes research which is relevant to the basic question of how people aggregate a
variety of expert opinions to generate their own judgment and make decisions. An …

Decision makers often must pool probability estimates from multiple experts before making a
choice. Such pooling sometimes improves accuracy and other times diagnosticity. This …

We study an aggregation problem in which a society has to determine its position on each of
several issues, based on the positions of the members of the society on those issues. There …