Approximating full conformal prediction at scale via influence functions

J Abad, U Bhatt, A Weller, G Cherubin - arXiv preprint arXiv:2202.01315, 2022 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction (CP) is a wrapper around traditional machine learning models, giving
coverage guarantees under the sole assumption of exchangeability; in classification …

Approximating full conformal prediction at scale via influence functions

JA Martinez, U Bhatt, A Weller… - Proceedings of the AAAI …, 2023 - ojs.aaai.org
Conformal prediction (CP) is a wrapper around traditional machine learning models, giving
coverage guarantees under the sole assumption of exchangeability; in classification …

Adapting Conformal Prediction to Distribution Shifts Without Labels

K Kasa, Z Zhang, H Yang, GW Taylor - arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.01416, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction (CP) enables machine learning models to output prediction sets with
guaranteed coverage rate, assuming exchangeable data. Unfortunately, the exchangeability …

Conformal Prediction with Learned Features

S Kiyani, G Pappas, H Hassani - arXiv preprint arXiv:2404.17487, 2024 - arxiv.org
In this paper, we focus on the problem of conformal prediction with conditional guarantees.
Prior work has shown that it is impossible to construct nontrivial prediction sets with full …

Post-selection inference for conformal prediction: Trading off coverage for precision

S Sarkar, AK Kuchibhotla - arXiv preprint arXiv:2304.06158, 2023 - arxiv.org
Conformal inference has played a pivotal role in providing uncertainty quantification for
black-box ML prediction algorithms with finite sample guarantees. Traditionally, conformal …

Adaptive conformal prediction by reweighting nonconformity score

SI Amoukou, NJB Brunel - arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.12695, 2023 - arxiv.org
Despite attractive theoretical guarantees and practical successes, Predictive Interval (PI)
given by Conformal Prediction (CP) may not reflect the uncertainty of a given model. This …

An Information Theoretic Perspective on Conformal Prediction

AHC Correia, FV Massoli, C Louizos… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal Prediction (CP) is a distribution-free uncertainty estimation framework that
constructs prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true answer with a user-specified …

Optimized conformal classification using gradient descent approximation

A Bellotti - arXiv preprint arXiv:2105.11255, 2021 - arxiv.org
Conformal predictors are an important class of algorithms that allow predictions to be made
with a user-defined confidence level. They are able to do this by outputting prediction sets …

Robust Conformal Prediction Using Privileged Information

S Feldman, Y Romano - arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.05405, 2024 - arxiv.org
We develop a method to generate prediction sets with a guaranteed coverage rate that is
robust to corruptions in the training data, such as missing or noisy variables. Our approach …

Conformal prediction with local weights: randomization enables local guarantees

R Hore, RF Barber - arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.07850, 2023 - arxiv.org
In this work, we consider the problem of building distribution-free prediction intervals with
finite-sample conditional coverage guarantees. Conformal prediction (CP) is an increasingly …