[HTML][HTML] Financial news predicts stock market volatility better than close price

A Atkins, M Niranjan, E Gerding - The Journal of Finance and Data Science, 2018 - Elsevier
The behaviour of time series data from financial markets is influenced by a rich mixture of
quantitative information from the dynamics of the system, captured in its past behaviour, and …

[HTML][HTML] Volatility forecasting with machine learning and intraday commonality

C Zhang, Y Zhang, M Cucuringu… - Journal of Financial …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
We apply machine learning models to forecast intraday realized volatility (RV), by exploiting
commonality in intraday volatility via pooling stock data together, and by incorporating a …

Forecasting volatility with empirical similarity and Google Trends

A Hamid, M Heiden - Journal of economic behavior & organization, 2015 - Elsevier
This paper proposes an empirical similarity approach to forecast weekly volatility by using
search engine data as a measure of investors attention to the stock market index. Our model …

Using neural networks for forecasting volatility of S&P 500 Index futures prices

SA Hamid, Z Iqbal - Journal of Business Research, 2004 - Elsevier
The ability to forecast the volatility of the markets is critical to analysts. Among the large array
of approaches available for forecasting volatility, neural networks are gaining in popularity …

[PDF][PDF] Machine learning for realised volatility forecasting

E Rahimikia, SH Poon - Available at SSRN, 2020 - researchgate.net
We examine the predictive power of machine learning (ML) models for forecasting realised
volatility (RV) using different data sets tested in the literature, viz., variables from the HAR …

News, volatility and jumps: the case of natural gas futures

S Borovkova, D Mahakena - Quantitative Finance, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
We investigate the impact of news sentiment on the price dynamics of natural gas futures.
We propose a Local News Sentiment Level model, based on the Local Level model of …

Forecasting volatility of the US oil market

E Haugom, H Langeland, P Molnár… - Journal of Banking & …, 2014 - Elsevier
We examine the information content of the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) when
forecasting realized volatility in the WTI futures market. Additionally, we study whether other …

The information content of option-implied information for volatility forecasting with investor sentiment

SW Seo, JS Kim - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2015 - Elsevier
This study explores the effect of investor sentiment on the volatility forecasting power of
option-implied information. We find that the risk-neutral skewness has the explanatory power …

Forecasting financial market volatility: A review

CWJ Granger, SH Poon - Available at SSRN 268866, 2001 - papers.ssrn.com
Financial market volatility is an important input for investment, option pricing and financial
market regulation. In this review article, we compare the volatility forecasting findings in 72 …

Forecasting oil price realized volatility using information channels from other asset classes

S Degiannakis, G Filis - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2017 - Elsevier
Motivated from Ross (1989) who maintains that asset volatilities are synonymous to the
information flow, we claim that cross-market volatility transmission effects are synonymous to …