Assessing improvements in models used to operationally predict wildland fire rate of spread

MG Cruz, ME Alexander, AL Sullivan, JS Gould… - … Modelling & Software, 2018 - Elsevier
The prediction of fire propagation across landscapes is necessary for safe and effective fire
management. We analyzed the predictive accuracy of models currently used operationally in …

Fire behaviour modelling in semi-arid mallee-heath shrublands of southern Australia

MG Cruz, WL McCaw, WR Anderson… - Environmental Modelling & …, 2013 - Elsevier
Knowledge of fire behaviour potential is necessary for proactive management of fire prone
shrublands. Data from two experimental burning programs in mallee-heath shrublands in …

Effect of weather forecast errors on fire growth model projections

TD Penman, DA Ababei, JG Cawson… - … journal of wildland …, 2020 - CSIRO Publishing
Fire management agencies use fire behaviour simulation tools to predict the potential
spread of a fire in both risk planning and operationally during wildfires. These models are …

Improved accuracy of wildfire simulations using fuel hazard estimates based on environmental data

TD Penman, SC McColl-Gausden, BA Cirulis… - Journal of environmental …, 2022 - Elsevier
Wildfire extent and their impacts are increasing around the world. Fire management
agencies use fire behaviour simulation models operationally (during a wildfire event) or …

An empirical-based model for predicting the forward spread rate of wildfires in eucalypt forests

MG Cruz, NP Cheney, JS Gould… - … journal of wildland …, 2021 - CSIRO Publishing
Reliable and accurate models of the speed of a wildfire front as it moves across the
landscape are essential for the timely prediction of its propagation, to devise suitable …

Indices for the evaluation of wildfire spread simulations using contemporaneous predictions and observations of burnt area

TJ Duff, DM Chong, KG Tolhurst - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2016 - Elsevier
Methods to objectively evaluate performance are critical for model development. In contrast
to recent advances in wildfire simulation, there has been limited attention to evaluating fire …

A generic, empirical-based model for predicting rate of fire spread in shrublands

WR Anderson, MG Cruz, PM Fernandes… - … Journal of Wildland …, 2015 - CSIRO Publishing
A shrubland fire behaviour dataset was assembled using data from experimental studies in
Australia, New Zealand, Europe and South Africa. The dataset covers a wide range of …

Uncertainty associated with model predictions of surface and crown fire rates of spread

MG Cruz, ME Alexander - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2013 - Elsevier
The degree of accuracy in model predictions of rate of spread in wildland fires is dependent
on the model's applicability to a given situation, the validity of the model's relationships, and …

Empirical-based models for predicting head-fire rate of spread in Australian fuel types

MG Cruz, JS Gould, ME Alexander, AL Sullivan… - Australian …, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
The knowledge of a free-burning fire's potential rate of spread is critical for safe and effective
bushfire control and use. A number of models for predicting the head-fire rate of spread in …