Forecasting traffic flow conditions in an urban network: Comparison of multivariate and univariate approaches

Y Kamarianakis, P Prastacos - Transportation Research …, 2003 - journals.sagepub.com
Several univariate and multivariate models have been proposed for performing short-term
forecasting of traffic flow. Two different univariate [historical average and ARIMA …

Short-term prediction of traffic volume in urban arterials

MM Hamed, HR Al-Masaeid… - Journal of Transportation …, 1995 - ascelibrary.org
This paper attempts to develop time-series models for forecasting traffic volume in urban
arterials. The Box-Jenkins approach is used to estimate the time-series models. A 1-min …

Short-term traffic forecasting using multivariate autoregressive models

D Pavlyuk - Procedia Engineering, 2017 - Elsevier
This research is devoted to a systematic review of multivariate models in the context of their
application to short-term traffic flow forecasting. A set of discussed models includes …

A multivariate state space approach for urban traffic flow modeling and prediction

A Stathopoulos, MG Karlaftis - Transportation Research Part C: Emerging …, 2003 - Elsevier
Urban traffic congestion is one of the most severe problems of everyday life in Metropolitan
areas. In an effort to deal with this problem, intelligent transportation systems (ITS) …

Urban traffic flow prediction using a spatio-temporal random effects model

YJ Wu, F Chen, CT Lu, S Yang - Journal of Intelligent …, 2016 - Taylor & Francis
Traffic prediction is critical for the success of intelligent transportation systems (ITS).
However, most spatio-temporal models suffer from high mathematical complexity and low …

Predictions of freeway traffic speeds and volumes using vector autoregressive models

SR Chandra, H Al-Deek - Journal of Intelligent Transportation …, 2009 - Taylor & Francis
Short-term traffic prediction on freeways is one of the critical components of advanced
traveler information systems. The traditional methods of prediction have used univariate …

Bayesian time-series model for short-term traffic flow forecasting

B Ghosh, B Basu, M O'Mahony - Journal of transportation …, 2007 - ascelibrary.org
The seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model is one of the
popular univariate time-series models in the field of short-term traffic flow forecasting. The …

Short-term traffic flow prediction using seasonal ARIMA model with limited input data

SV Kumar, L Vanajakshi - European Transport Research Review, 2015 - Springer
Background Accurate prediction of traffic flow is an integral component in most of the
Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) applications. The data driven approach using Box …

Dynamic prediction of traffic volume through Kalman filtering theory

I Okutani, YJ Stephanedes - Transportation Research Part B …, 1984 - Elsevier
Two models employing Kalman filtering theory are proposed for predicting short-term traffic
volume. Prediction parameters are improved using the most recent prediction error and …

Urban freeway traffic flow prediction: application of seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average and exponential smoothing models

BM Williams, PK Durvasula… - Transportation Research …, 1998 - journals.sagepub.com
The application of seasonal time series models to the single-interval traffic flow forecasting
problem for urban freeways is addressed. Seasonal time series approaches have not been …