Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics

C Cot, G Cacciapaglia, AS Islind, M Oskarsdottir… - Scientific Reports, 2021 - nature.com
We employ the epidemic Renormalization Group (eRG) framework to understand, reproduce
and predict the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion across the US. The human mobility across …

Interplay of social distancing and border restrictions for pandemics via the epidemic renormalisation group framework

G Cacciapaglia, F Sannino - Scientific reports, 2020 - nature.com
One of the biggest threats to humanity are pandemics. In our global society they can rage
around the world with an immense toll in terms of human, economic and social impact …

Second wave COVID-19 pandemics in Europe: a temporal playbook

G Cacciapaglia, C Cot, F Sannino - Scientific reports, 2020 - nature.com
A second wave pandemic constitutes an imminent threat to society, with a potentially
immense toll in terms of human lives and a devastating economic impact. We employ the …

A data-driven assessment of early travel restrictions related to the spreading of the novel COVID-19 within mainland China

A Aleta, Q Hu, J Ye, P Ji, Y Moreno - Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2020 - Elsevier
Two months after it was firstly reported, the novel coronavirus disease COVID-19 spread
worldwide. However, the vast majority of reported infections until February occurred in …

The importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 vaccine rollout

N Gozzi, P Bajardi, N Perra - PLoS computational biology, 2021 - journals.plos.org
The promise of efficacious vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 is fulfilled and vaccination
campaigns have started worldwide. However, the fight against the pandemic is far from over …

Sars-Cov2 world pandemic recurrent waves controlled by variants evolution and vaccination campaign

G Campi, A Perali, A Marcelli, A Bianconi - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
While understanding the time evolution of Covid-19 pandemic is needed to plan economics
and tune sanitary policies, a quantitative information of the recurrent epidemic waves is …

Power-law population heterogeneity governs epidemic waves

J Neipel, J Bauermann, S Bo, T Harmon, F Jülicher - PloS one, 2020 - journals.plos.org
We generalize the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model for epidemics to take into
account generic effects of heterogeneity in the degree of susceptibility to infection in the …

Effects of adjusting public health, travel, and social measures during the roll-out of COVID-19 vaccination: a modelling study

K Leung, JT Wu, GM Leung - The Lancet Public Health, 2021 - thelancet.com
Background Since the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic in late 2019, various public
health and social measures (PHSMs) have been used to suppress and mitigate the spread …

Controlling multiple COVID-19 epidemic waves: an insight from a multi-scale model linking the behaviour change dynamics to the disease transmission dynamics

B Tang, W Zhou, X Wang, H Wu, Y Xiao - Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 2022 - Springer
COVID-19 epidemics exhibited multiple waves regionally and globally since 2020. It is
important to understand the insight and underlying mechanisms of the multiple waves of …

Transmission dynamics reveal the impracticality of COVID-19 herd immunity strategies

TS Brett, P Rohani - … of the National Academy of Sciences, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
The rapid growth rate of COVID-19 continues to threaten to overwhelm healthcare systems
in multiple countries. In response, severely affected countries have had to impose a range of …