Simulation is likely to become a prominent method of theory development. Futures studies
have used simulation in different ways such as evaluating scenarios. Nonetheless, the …

There are growing initiatives to apply software engineering (SE) best-practice to
computational science, which includes simulation. One area where the simulation literature …

We would not find disagreement with much of what Graham Molitor says about scenarios as
a" rational discussion targeting specific oncoming change (s)"(p. 1). He says that he remains …

Modeling & Simulation (M&S) is making successful contributions to different areas in
industry and academia. However, there are certain key issues that are preventing the field …

A future society will very likely have the technological ability and the motivation to create
large numbers of completely realistic historical simulations and be able to overcome any …

This article offers “transition scenarios” as a variation on the backcasting technique. The
variation in essence developed a shorter-term version of a long-term set of scenarios that …

Evaluation of futures studies is a topic that has frequently aroused discussion. Futures
studies often deal with great societal or strategic business issues, and thus the validity and …

This essay reviews the origins of key concepts used in most global models. Philosophical
preconditions for validity are examined. A framework for critically evaluating existing global …

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This book presents three examples of futures research that illustrate the problems of
applying knowledge during the course of a futures research project, the ways in which …