Conformal inference has played a pivotal role in providing uncertainty quantification for black-box ML prediction algorithms with finite sample guarantees. Traditionally, conformal …
We introduce an extension of conformal predictions (CP) based on a combination of split-CP and the Jackknife+ procedure that enables tuning score functions to calibration data and …
Conformal prediction, and split conformal prediction as a specific implementation, offer a distribution-free approach to estimating prediction intervals with statistical guarantees …
Conditional validity and length efficiency are two crucial aspects of conformal prediction (CP). Achieving conditional validity ensures accurate uncertainty quantification for data …
In this work, we consider the problem of building distribution-free prediction intervals with finite-sample conditional coverage guarantees. Conformal prediction (CP) is an increasingly …
Conformal inference is a popular tool for constructing prediction intervals (PI). We consider here the scenario of post-selection/selective conformal inference, that is PIs are reported …
We develop a new method for creating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $ P_ {Y\mid X} $. Most …
Training-conditional coverage guarantees in conformal prediction concern the concentration of the error distribution, conditional on the training data, below some nominal level. The …
This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs …