Does geopolitical risk matter for global asset returns? Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression

Z Umar, A Bossman, SY Choi, T Teplova - Finance Research Letters, 2022 - Elsevier
We investigate the impact of geopolitical risk (GPR) generated by the Russian-Ukrainian
conflict on European and Russian bonds, equity, and global commodity markets. We employ …

[PDF][PDF] Asymmetric impacts of geopolitical risk on stock markets: A comparative analysis of the E7 and G7 equities during the Russian-Ukrainian conflict

A Bossman, M Gubareva - Heliyon, 2023 - cell.com
In a nonparametric quantile-on-quantile regression model, we analyze the asymmetric
financial impact of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict-induced geopolitical risk (GPR) on the top …

[HTML][HTML] Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risk on major currencies: Russia-Ukraine tensions

A Bossman, M Gubareva, T Teplova - Finance Research Letters, 2023 - Elsevier
In a nonparametric quantile-on-quantile regression analysis, we study the asymmetric
effects of the Russia-Ukraine geopolitical risk (GPR) on the seven major currencies in terms …

Historical geopolitical risk and the behaviour of stock returns in advanced economies

AA Salisu, L Lasisi, JP Tchankam - The European Journal of …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
In this study, we investigate the impact of global geopolitical risk (GPR) of different forms on
the economies of advanced countries (G7 and Switzerland). We construct a predictive …

Impact of geo-political risk on stocks, oil, and gold returns during GFC, COVID-19, and Russian–Ukraine War

M Shaik, SA Jamil, IT Hawaldar… - Cogent Economics & …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
The study uses wavelet power spectrum and wavelet coherence transformation
methodologies to examine how geopolitical risk affected the returns on stocks, oil, and gold …

Geopolitical risk and excess stock returns predictability: New evidence from a century of data

F Ma, F Lu, Y Tao - Finance Research Letters, 2022 - Elsevier
This study applies a new series of geopolitical risk historical indices developed by Caldara
and Iacoviello (2022) to predict stock returns. Empirical results show that the geopolitical …

Geopolitical risks and stock market dynamics of the BRICS

M Balcilar, M Bonato, R Demirer, R Gupta - Economic Systems, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper examines the effect of geopolitical uncertainty on return and volatility dynamics in
the BRICS stock markets via nonparametric causality-in-quantiles tests. The effect of …

Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility: A global perspective

Y Zhang, J He, M He, S Li - Finance Research Letters, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the relationship between geopolitical risk (GPR) and stock market
volatility from a global perspective. We use dynamic panel data including 32 countries and …

Geopolitical Risk and Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Evidence from GARCH‐MIDAS Model

M Yang, Q Zhang, A Yi, P Peng - Discrete Dynamics in Nature …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Previous studies have found that geopolitical risk (GPR) caused by geopolitical events such
as terrorist attacks can affect the movements of asset prices. However, the studies on …

[PDF][PDF] Geopolitical risk and precious metals

D Das, M Kannadhasan, P Bhowmik - Journal of Economic …, 2019 - researchgate.net
We empirically examine the impact of Geopolitical Risk (GPR) on tradable precious metal
returns for a period spanning over January 1985 to December 2017. We report the evidence …