Quantifying aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning: Are conditional entropy and mutual information appropriate measures?

L Wimmer, Y Sale, P Hofman, B Bischl… - Uncertainty in …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
The quantification of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in terms of conditional entropy and
mutual information, respectively, has recently become quite common in machine learning …

A deeper look into aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty disentanglement

M Valdenegro-Toro, DS Mori - 2022 IEEE/CVF Conference on …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Neural networks are ubiquitous in many tasks, but trusting their predictions is an open issue.
Uncertainty quantification is required for many applications, and disentangled aleatoric and …

Sources of Uncertainty in Machine Learning--A Statisticians' View

C Gruber, PO Schenk, M Schierholz, F Kreuter… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Machine Learning and Deep Learning have achieved an impressive standard today,
enabling us to answer questions that were inconceivable a few years ago. Besides these …

Quantification of credal uncertainty in machine learning: A critical analysis and empirical comparison

E Hüllermeier, S Destercke… - Uncertainty in Artificial …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
The representation and quantification of uncertainty has received increasing attention in
machine learning in the recent past. The formalism of credal sets provides an interesting …

Pitfalls of epistemic uncertainty quantification through loss minimisation

V Bengs, E Hüllermeier… - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Uncertainty quantification has received increasing attention in machine learning in the
recent past. In particular, a distinction between aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty has been …

Is the volume of a credal set a good measure for epistemic uncertainty?

Y Sale, M Caprio, E Höllermeier - Uncertainty in Artificial …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Adequate uncertainty representation and quantification have become imperative in various
scientific disciplines, especially in machine learning and artificial intelligence. As an …

Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning: An introduction to concepts and methods

E Hüllermeier, W Waegeman - Machine learning, 2021 - Springer
The notion of uncertainty is of major importance in machine learning and constitutes a key
element of machine learning methodology. In line with the statistical tradition, uncertainty …

Introducing an improved information-theoretic measure of predictive uncertainty

K Schweighofer, L Aichberger, M Ielanskyi… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Applying a machine learning model for decision-making in the real world requires to
distinguish what the model knows from what it does not. A critical factor in assessing the …

Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty with random forests

MH Shaker, E Hüllermeier - Advances in Intelligent Data Analysis XVIII …, 2020 - Springer
Due to the steadily increasing relevance of machine learning for practical applications, many
of which are coming with safety requirements, the notion of uncertainty has received …

Evidential uncertainty quantification: A variance-based perspective

R Duan, B Caffo, HX Bai, HI Sair… - Proceedings of the …, 2024 - openaccess.thecvf.com
Uncertainty quantification of deep neural networks has become an active field of research
and plays a crucial role in various downstream tasks such as active learning. Recent …