[HTML][HTML] Limitations on the accuracy of model predictions of wildland fire behaviour: a state-of-the-knowledge overview

E AlexanderMartin, G CruzMiguel - The forestry chronicle, 2013 - pubs.cif-ifc.org
The degree of accuracy in model predictions of wildland fire behaviour characteristics are
dependent on the model's applicability to a given situation, the validity of the model's …

Are the applications of wildland fire behaviour models getting ahead of their evaluation again?

ME Alexander, MG Cruz - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2013 - Elsevier
Evaluation is a crucial component for model credibility and acceptance by researchers and
resource managers. The nature and characteristics of free-burning wildland fires pose …

Mantras of wildland fire behaviour modelling: facts or fallacies?

MG Cruz, ME Alexander… - International Journal of …, 2017 - CSIRO Publishing
Generalised statements about the state of fire science are often used to provide a simplified
context for new work. This paper explores the validity of five frequently repeated statements …

Modelling logic and the Canadian forest fire behavior prediction system

CEV Wagner - The Forestry Chronicle, 1998 - pubs.cif-ifc.org
This article outlines the flexible semi-empirical philosophy used throughout six decades of
fire research by the Canadian Forest Service, culminating in the development of the Forest …

Techniques for evaluating wildfire simulators via the simulation of historical fires using the Australis simulator

JK Kelso, D Mellor, ME Murphy… - International Journal of …, 2015 - CSIRO Publishing
A methodology for validating fire spread simulation systems using historical fire data is
presented. The key features of this methodology are (a) quantitative comparison between …

On the need for a theory of wildland fire spread

MA Finney, JD Cohen, SS McAllister… - International journal of …, 2012 - CSIRO Publishing
We explore the basis of understanding wildland fire behaviour with the intention of
stimulating curiosity and promoting fundamental investigations of fire spread problems that …

Introduction: strengthening the foundation of wildland fire effects prediction for research and management

MB Dickinson, KC Ryan - Fire Ecology, 2010 - Springer
As prescribed fire use increases and the options for responding to wildfires continue to
expand beyond suppression, the need for improving fire effects prediction capabilities …

Some requirements for simulating wildland fire behavior using insight from coupled weather—Wildland fire models

J Coen - Fire, 2018 - mdpi.com
A newer generation of models that interactively couple the atmosphere with fire behavior
have shown an increased potential to understand and predict complex, rapidly changing fire …

Assessing the probability of crown fire initiation based on fire danger indices

MG Cruz, ME Alexander, RH Wakimoto - The Forestry Chronicle, 2003 - pubs.cif-ifc.org
The initiation of crown fires in conifer stands was modelled through logistic regression
analysis by considering as independent variables a basic physical descriptor of the fuel …

A method for ensemble wildland fire simulation

MA Finney, IC Grenfell, CW McHugh, RC Seli… - … Modeling & Assessment, 2011 - Springer
An ensemble simulation system that accounts for uncertainty in long-range weather
conditions and two-dimensional wildland fire spread is described. Fuel moisture is …