Streakiness is not a theory: On “momentums”(hot hands) and their underlying mechanisms

E Morgulev - Journal of Economic Psychology, 2023 - Elsevier
The term momentum (or hot hand) is widely used by researchers from various disciplines
when addressing streakiness. Indeed, stock prices, presidential approval ratings, students' …

[HTML][HTML] Success breeds success: Physiological, psychological, and economic perspectives of momentum (hot hand)

E Morgulev - Asian Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology, 2023 - Elsevier
The literature on momentum (hot hand) is broad and diverse, and is addressed in a range of
fields, including sports, marketing, finance, politics, and even warfare. Yet this term is readily …

Does a “comeback” create momentum in overtime? Analysis of NBA tied games

E Morgulev, OH Azar, M Bar-Eli - Journal of Economic Psychology, 2019 - Elsevier
Despite the prevalence of the momentum concept, the literature is still divided on whether
psychological momentum actually exists. We aimed to detect psychological momentum in …

Beyond heuristics, biases and misperceptions: the biological foundations of momentum (hot hand)

E Morgulev, S Avugos - International Review of Sport and Exercise …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
The belief in momentum and the hot hand has often been attributed to misperception and
biased judgment. Here we review the major theoretical and empirical advances in the …

How success breeds success

A Descamps, C Ke, L Page - Quantitative Economics, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We investigate if, and why, an initial success can trigger a string of successes. Using random
variations in success in a real‐effort laboratory experiment, we cleanly identify the causal …

Separating psychological momentum from strategic momentum: Evidence from men's professional tennis

P Meier, R Flepp, M Ruedisser, E Franck - Journal of economic psychology, 2020 - Elsevier
In dynamic contests, strategic momentum and psychological momentum potentially coexist,
which makes it difficult to distinguish between the two. We employ the setting of professional …

Best-of-three contest experiments: Strategic versus psychological momentum

SD Mago, RM Sheremeta, A Yates - International Journal of Industrial …, 2013 - Elsevier
We conduct an experimental analysis of a best-of-three Tullock contest. Intermediate prizes
lead to higher efforts, while increasing the role of luck (as opposed to effort) leads to lower …

Psychological momentum: Why success breeds success

SE Iso-Ahola, CO Dotson - Review of general psychology, 2014 - journals.sagepub.com
Whether trying to win Presidential primaries, trading stocks, or playing sports, performance-
enhancing effects of psychological momentum (PM) are widely accepted. But, does initial …

Observing your competitor–The role of effort information in two-stage tournaments

S Ludwig, GK Lünser - Journal of Economic Psychology, 2012 - Elsevier
We consider two-stage tournaments with different information structures: Either competitors
observe each others' first-stage effort before entering the second stage or not. In laboratory …

Best-of-Three Contests: Experimental Evidence

SD Mago, RM Sheremeta, A Yates - 2010 - digitalcommons.chapman.edu
We conduct an experimental analysis of a best-of-three Tullock contest. Intermediate prizes
lead to higher efforts, while increasing the role of luck (as opposed to effort) leads to lower …