Coefficient identification for SEIR model and economic forecasting in the propagation of COVID-19

SG Georgiev, LG Vulkov - Annual Meeting of the Bulgarian Section of …, 2020 - Springer
The outbreak of COVID-19 led the world to an extreme health and economic cataclysm. As
the epidemic stays the course, the researchers worldwide attempt to study its features and to …

[HTML][HTML] Dynamics of SEIR model: A case study of COVID-19 in Italy

M Kamrujjaman, P Saha, MS Islam, U Ghosh - Results in Control and …, 2022 - Elsevier
COVID-19 takes a gigantic form worldwide in a short time from December, 2019. For this
reason, World Health Organization (WHO) declared COVID-19 as a pandemic outbreak. In …

[HTML][HTML] Dynamics of COVID-19 using inverse problem for coefficient identification in SIR epidemic models

TT Marinov, RS Marinova - Chaos, Solitons & Fractals: X, 2020 - Elsevier
This work deals with the inverse problem in epidemiology based on a SIR model with time-
dependent infectivity and recovery rates, allowing for a better prediction of the long term …

[HTML][HTML] Mathematical Modeling and Short-Term Forecasting of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Bulgaria: SEIRS Model with Vaccination

S Margenov, N Popivanov, I Ugrinova, T Hristov - Mathematics, 2022 - mdpi.com
Data from the World Health Organization indicate that Bulgaria has the second-highest
COVID-19 mortality rate in the world and the lowest vaccination rate in the European Union …

Mathematical and computer modeling of COVID-19 transmission dynamics in Bulgaria by time-depended inverse SEIR model

S Margenov, N Popivanov, I Ugrinova… - AIP Conference …, 2021 - pubs.aip.org
Since the end of 2019, with the outbreak of the new virus COVID-19, the world changed
entirely in many aspects, with the pandemia affecting the economies, healthcare systems …

Parameters identification and forecasting of COVID-19 transmission dynamics in Bulgaria with mass vaccination strategy

S Margenov, N Popivanov, I Ugrinova… - AIP Conference …, 2022 - pubs.aip.org
In this paper we introduce a time-dependent SEIR-based model with vaccination. In the
suggested model the host population is divided into seven compartments: susceptible …

[HTML][HTML] Analyzing the asymptotic behavior of an extended SEIR model with vaccination for COVID-19

VE Papageorgiou, G Vasiliadis, G Tsaklidis - Mathematics, 2023 - mdpi.com
Several research papers have attempted to describe the dynamics of COVID-19 based on
systems of differential equations. These systems have taken into account quarantined or …

Identification of COVID–19 dynamics and economic impact for a fractional SEIR model

SG Georgiev, LG Vulkov - AIP conference proceedings, 2022 - pubs.aip.org
In the context of the COVID–19, a great deal of attention is attracted in studying the infectious
disease from both academics and practitioners. One of the most powerful tools for …

Parameter estimation and early dynamics of COVID-19 disease

H Sharma, M Mathur, SD Purohit, KM Owolabi… - … Conference on Data …, 2022 - Springer
In this article, we have considered nine countries where the epidemic shows steady state or
has a rising trend and used the traditional SEIR model to estimate the parameter for COVID …

[HTML][HTML] COVID-19 outbreak in India: an SEIR model-based analysis

D Saikia, K Bora, MP Bora - Nonlinear Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
We present a modelling and analysis of the COVID-19 outbreak in India with an emphasis
on the socio-economic composition, based on the progress of the pandemic (during its first …