Probabilistic Prediction of Dst Storms One‐Day‐Ahead Using Full‐Disk SoHO Images

A Hu, C Shneider, A Tiwari, E Camporeale - Space weather, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We present a new model for the probability that the disturbance storm time (Dst) index
exceeds− 100 nT, with a lead time between 1 and 3 days. Dst provides essential information …

Operational Dst index prediction model based on combination of artificial neural network and empirical model

W Park, J Lee, KC Kim, JK Lee, K Park… - Journal of Space …, 2021 - swsc-journal.org
In this paper, an operational Dst index prediction model is developed by combining
empirical and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. ANN algorithms are widely used to …

[PDF][PDF] Predicting geomagnetic storms from solar-wind data using time-delay neural networks

H Gleisner, H Lundstedt, P Wintoft - Annales geophysicae, 1996 - researchgate.net
We have used time-delay feed-forward neural networks to compute the geomagnetic activity
index Dst one hour ahead from a temporal sequence of solar wind data. The input data …

Forecasting the Dst index using a swarm‐optimized neural network

JA Lazzús, P Vega, P Rojas, I Salfate - Space Weather, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
A hybrid technique that combines an artificial neural network with a particle swarm
optimization (ANN+ PSO) was used to forecast the disturbance storm time (Dst) index from 1 …

Multiple‐hour‐ahead forecast of the Dst index using a combination of long short‐term memory neural network and Gaussian process

MA Gruet, M Chandorkar, A Sicard… - Space …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
In this study, we present a method that combines a Long Short‐Term Memory (LSTM)
recurrent neural network with a Gaussian process (GP) model to provide up to 6‐hr‐ahead …

Support vector machine combined with distance correlation learning for Dst forecasting during intense geomagnetic storms

JY Lu, YX Peng, M Wang, SJ Gu, MX Zhao - Planetary and Space Science, 2016 - Elsevier
In this study we apply the Support Vector Machine (SVM) combined together with Distance
Correlation (DC) to the forecasting of Dst index by using 80 intense geomagnetic storms …

Prediction of the Dst Index and Analysis of Its Dependence on Solar Wind Parameters Using Neural Network

A Lethy, MA El‐Eraki, A Samy, HA Deebes - Space Weather, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
In this work, we propose an artificial neural network (ANN) with seven input parameters for
the prediction of disturbance storm time (Dst) index 1 to 12 hr ahead. The ANN uses past …

Forecasting the disturbance storm time index with Bayesian deep learning

Y Abduallah, JTL Wang, P Bose, G Zhang… - The International …, 2022 - journals.flvc.org
The disturbance storm time (Dst) index is an important and useful measurement in space
weather research. It has been used to characterize the size and intensity of a geomagnetic …

MagNet—A Data‐Science Competition to Predict Disturbance Storm‐Time Index (Dst) From Solar Wind Data

M Nair, R Redmon, LY Young, A Chulliat… - Space …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Enhanced interaction between solar‐wind and Earth's magnetosphere can cause space
weather and geomagnetic storms that have the potential to damage critical technologies …

Forecasting the Dst Index with Temporal Convolutional Network and Integrated Gradients

J Liu, C Shen, Y Wang, M Xu, Y Chi, Z Zhong, D Mao… - Solar Physics, 2024 - Springer
Abstract The Disturbance Storm Time (Dst) Index stands as a crucial geomagnetic metric,
serving to quantify the intensity of geomagnetic disturbances. The accurate prediction of the …