Surrogate-based simulation optimization approach for day-to-day dynamics model calibration with real data

Q Cheng, S Wang, Z Liu, Y Yuan - Transportation Research Part C …, 2019 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the day-to-day dynamics model from the perspective of travelers'
actual route choice behaviors, and calibrates and validates the route-based day-to-day …

A novel metamodel-based framework for large-scale dynamic origin–destination demand calibration

T Dantsuji, NH Hoang, N Zheng, HL Vu - Transportation Research Part C …, 2022 - Elsevier
Calibrating dynamic traffic demand for stochastic traffic simulators is one of the big
challenges due to computational burden. This paper proposes a novel framework to …

A structural state space model for real-time traffic origin–destination demand estimation and prediction in a day-to-day learning framework

X Zhou, HS Mahmassani - Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 2007 - Elsevier
Dynamic origin–destination (OD) estimation and prediction is an essential support function
for real-time dynamic traffic assignment model systems for ITS applications. This paper …

Formulation and solution approach for calibrating activity-based travel demand model-system via microsimulation

S Chen, AA Prakash, CL De Azevedo… - … Research Part C …, 2020 - Elsevier
This study addresses the problem of calibrating utility-maximizing nested logit activity-based
travel demand model-systems. After estimation, it is common practice to use aggregate …

Dynamic data-driven local traffic state estimation and prediction

C Antoniou, HN Koutsopoulos, G Yannis - Transportation Research Part C …, 2013 - Elsevier
Traffic state prediction is a key problem with considerable implications in modern traffic
management. Traffic flow theory has provided significant resources, including models based …

An efficient simulation-based travel demand calibration algorithm for large-scale metropolitan traffic models

N Arora, Y Chen, S Ganapathy, Y Li, Z Lin… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2021 - arxiv.org
Metropolitan scale vehicular traffic modeling is used by a variety of private and public sector
urban mobility stakeholders to inform the design and operations of road networks. High …

Spatiotemporal correlation modelling for machine learning-based traffic state predictions: state-of-the-art and beyond

H Cui, Q Meng, TH Teng, X Yang - Transport reviews, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Predicting traffic states has gained more attention because of its practical significance.
However, the existing literature lacks a critical review regarding how to address the …

Bayesian dynamic linear model with switching for real-time short-term freeway travel time prediction with license plate recognition data

X Fei, Y Zhang, K Liu, M Guo - Journal of Transportation …, 2013 - ascelibrary.org
This paper presents a Bayesian inference-based dynamic linear model (DLM) with switching
based on three-phase traffic flow theory to predict online short-term travel time with plate …

Introducing weather factor modelling into macro traffic state prediction

Y Bie, TZ Qiu, C Zhang, C Zhang - Journal of advanced …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Adverse weather has significant impacts on road conditions and traffic dynamics. It is
observed that adverse weather as a set of exogenous factors lowers the free flow speed …

A spatial–temporal-based state space approach for freeway network traffic flow modelling and prediction

C Dong, Z Xiong, C Shao, H Zhang - Transportmetrica A: Transport …, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
Effective traffic flow prediction is an essential component of any proactive traffic control
system and one of the pillars of an advanced traffic management system. Hence, the main …