[HTML][HTML] A modified SEIR model to predict the COVID-19 outbreak in Spain and Italy: simulating control scenarios and multi-scale epidemics

L López, X Rodo - Results in Physics, 2021 - Elsevier
After the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic out of China, evolution in the pandemic
worldwide shows dramatic differences among countries. In Europe, the situation of Italy first …

A simulation of a COVID-19 epidemic based on a deterministic SEIR model

JM Carcione, JE Santos, C Bagaini, J Ba - Frontiers in public health, 2020 - frontiersin.org
An epidemic disease caused by a new coronavirus has spread in Northern Italy with a
strong contagion rate. We implement an SEIR model to compute the infected population and …

Evaluation of the potential incidence of COVID-19 and effectiveness of containment measures in Spain: a data-driven approach

A Aleta, Y Moreno - BMC medicine, 2020 - Springer
Background We are currently experiencing an unprecedented challenge, managing and
containing an outbreak of a new coronavirus disease known as COVID-19. While China …

Covid-19 outbreak progression in Italian regions: approaching the peak by the end of March in Northern Italy and first week of April in Southern Italy

C Distante, P Piscitelli, A Miani - International Journal of Environmental …, 2020 - mdpi.com
Epidemiological figures of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Italy are higher than those observed
in China. Our objective was to model the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak progression in Italian …

Seahir: A specialized compartmental model for covid-19

A Leontitsis, A Senok, A Alsheikh-Ali… - International journal of …, 2021 - mdpi.com
The SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed) model is widely used in epidemiology
to mathematically model the spread of infectious diseases with incubation periods. However …

Management strategies in a SEIR-type model of COVID 19 community spread

A Rǎdulescu, C Williams, K Cavanagh - Scientific reports, 2020 - nature.com
Abstract The 2019 Novel Corona virus infection (COVID 19) is an ongoing public health
emergency of international focus. Significant gaps persist in our knowledge of COVID 19 …

Modeling the second wave of COVID-19 infections in France and Italy via a stochastic SEIR model

D Faranda, T Alberti - Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear …, 2020 - pubs.aip.org
COVID-19 has forced quarantine measures in several countries across the world. These
measures have proven to be effective in significantly reducing the prevalence of the virus. To …

Chinese and Italian COVID-19 outbreaks can be correctly described by a modified SIRD model

D Caccavo - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
The COVID-19 disease is rapidly spreading in whole globe, affecting millions of people and
pushing governments to take drastic measures to contain the outbreaks. The understanding …

A mathematical model for COVID-19 considering waning immunity, vaccination and control measures

SK Ghosh, S Ghosh - Scientific Reports, 2023 - nature.com
In this work we define a modified SEIR model that accounts for the spread of infection during
the latent period, infections from asymptomatic or pauci-symptomatic infected individuals …

Spread and dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy: Effects of emergency containment measures

M Gatto, E Bertuzzo, L Mari, S Miccoli… - Proceedings of the …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
The spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Italy prompted drastic measures for
transmission containment. We examine the effects of these interventions, based on …