Exponential smoothing: The state of the art

ES Gardner Jr - Journal of forecasting, 1985 - Wiley Online Library
This paper is a critical review of exponential smoothing since the original work by Brown and
Holt in the 1950s. Exponential smoothing is based on a pragmatic approach to forecasting …

[图书][B] Models for innovation diffusion

V Mahajan, RA Peterson, RA Peterson - 1985 - books.google.com
Mahajan and Peterson have provided an introduction to diffusion models that bridges the
disciplines and sets out the basic findings in a clear and consistent way. Their book is a …

An empirical comparison of sales forecasting models

S Rao - Journal of Product Innovation Management: AN …, 1985 - Wiley Online Library
There has been a veritable industry of forecasting models in recent decades, spurred partly
by planners' search for certainty and partly by the data crunching capabilities of computers …

Revenue forecasting, budget setting and risk

S Bretschneider, L Schroeder - Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 1985 - Elsevier
The budget-making process can be viewed as a problem of decision making under
uncertainty since revenues are unknown at the time the budget is written. Revenue forecasts …

Automatic prediction of platelet utilization by time series analysis in a large tertiary care hospital

GC Critchfield, DP Connelly… - American journal of …, 1985 - academic.oup.com
The authors investigated the potential of various time series models to aid in the prediction
of platelet utilization patterns at the authors' institution. During a seven-week feasibility study …

A system for allocating mental health resources

HS Leff, SC Graves, J Natkins, J Bryan - Administration in Mental Health, 1985 - Springer
A resource allocation model was developed to assist in planning services for the severely
mentally ill. Given program objectives and resource constraints, the model employs linear …

Investigation of the impact of changes in demand forecasting method on the financial performance of an electricity supply undertaking

DHR Price, JA Sharp - International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy …, 1985 - Elsevier
Peak demand forecasts obtained from six different univariate forecasting methods, under a
range of conditions, were used to drive a capacity acquisition model of a large electrical …

The Kalman filter as an adaptive forecasting procedure for use with Box-Jenkins ARIMA models

P Sholl, RK Wolfe - Computers & Industrial Engineering, 1985 - Elsevier
Abstract The Box-Jenkins (BJ) methodology of time series analysis is currently one of the
most accurate of the historical approaches to forecasting. It involves the formation of an …

Forecasting plant labor productivity with a time series model

ASM Masud - Computers & industrial engineering, 1985 - Elsevier
Plant labor productivity index, defined as the ratio of the standard labor hours and actual
labor hours, is an important factor in the determination of the future manpower needs at …

The teachers/practitioners corner comparative analysis of load forecasting techniques at a southern utility

WR Huss - Journal of Forecasting, 1985 - Wiley Online Library
The prime directive of any regulated electric utility is to provide adequate and reliable
electricity supplies to the consuming public at reasonable cost. This requires the continual …