Forecasting tourism demand: A comparison of the accuracy of several quantitative methods

CA Martin, SF Witt - International Journal of forecasting, 1989 - Elsevier
Forecasting accuracy is examined in the context of international tourism demand. Seven
quantitative forecasting methods are used to generate out of sample forecasts for tourist …

Factors affecting judgmental forecasts and confidence intervals

M Lawrence, S Makridakis - Organizational Behavior and Human Decision …, 1989 - Elsevier
Eighteen time series differing in their trend (three categories), randomness (three
categories), and presentation on a graph (two categories) were given to 350 MBA students …

Generalized Lotka-Volterra equations and the mechanism of technological substitution

SC Bhargava - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 1989 - Elsevier
This paper demonstrates that if technological substitution is viewed as the result of
competition between old and new technology in which new technology wins, and if …

Bias in the formulation of local government budget problems

PD Larkey, RA Smith - Policy Sciences, 1989 - Springer
Government budgets are premised on forecasts of revenues and expenditures. These
forecasts are subject to both stochastic error and strategic manipulation. Circumstantial …

Forecasting solid waste composition—an important consideration in resource recovery and recycling

MZA Khan, FA Burney - Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 1989 - Elsevier
Global socio-economic data and solid waste composition for 28 international cities are
utilized in developing regression models using multiple linear regression. The models are …

Modelling and forecasting the fishery for pilchard (Sardina pilchardus) in Greek waters using ARIMA time-series models

KI Stergiou - ICES Journal of Marine Science, 1989 - academic.oup.com
Abstract A 17-year record (1964–1980, 204 observations) of monthly catches of pilchard
(Sardina pilchardus) from Greek waters was analysed using AutoRegressive Integrated …

The utilization of the Wilcoxon test to compare forecasting methods: A note

BE Flores - International Journal of Forecasting, 1989 - Elsevier
The selection of forecasting methods is a complicated issue. The situation is created by the
need to identify the best method for a time series. Criteria for selection must be defined. If the …

Forecasting with combined seasonal indices

R Withycombe - International Journal of Forecasting, 1989 - Elsevier
Traditional methods of forecasting the demand for products that exhibit a seasonal pattern
call for estimation of the seasonal component based on the history of demands for that …

Patterns of repressive social control in post-reconstruction Georgia, 1882–1935

JL Massey, MA Myers - Social Forces, 1989 - academic.oup.com
Lynching, legal execution, and imprisonment were three mechanisms of repressive social
control that figured prominently in southern white society's response to alleged deviance by …

[图书][B] Handbook of foreign policy analysis: methods for practical application in foreign policy planning, strategic planning, and business risk assessment

D Frei, D Ruloff - 1989 - books.google.com
This book provides the reader with a comprehensive study of the future perspectives of the
international order after the collapse of the Evil Empire. The first part of the book reviews the …