More than wishful thinking: Causes and consequences of voters' electoral expectations about parties and coalitions

MF Meffert, S Huber, T Gschwend, FU Pappi - Electoral Studies, 2011 - Elsevier
Accurate expectations about the outcome of elections play a central role in psychological
and economic theories of voting. In the paper, three questions about voters' expectations are …

[PDF][PDF] ¿ Qué mueve a los votantes? Un análisis de las razones y sinrazones del comportamiento político del elector

AV Zepeda, DAH Franco - Razón y palabra, 2011 - redalyc.org
El ensayo hace, en un primer apartado, una descripción de las principales teorías que
explican el comportamiento político y las diversas motivaciones de los votantes. En una …

I'm not voting for her: Polling discrepancies and female candidates

CT Stout, R Kline - Political Behavior, 2011 - Springer
Although there is a large literature on the predictive accuracy of pre-election polls, there is
virtually no systematic research examining the role that a candidate's gender plays in polling …

Printmedia poll reporting in Poland: Poll as news in Polish parliamentary campaigns, 1991–2007

R Szwed - Communist and Post-Communist Studies, 2011 - online.ucpress.edu
Information about the support given by the public opinion to political actors has become a
constant element of the public debate in Poland after the fall of Communism. Very soon polls …

Education and the Zeitgeist: government positions and public opinion on income distribution

TG Jakobsen - European Political Science Review, 2011 - cambridge.org
Despite a sizable literature on the elite mass linkage, few of these studies are cross-national.
In this paper, I apply multilevel ordered logit models to investigate public opinion toward …

[PDF][PDF] Wishful Thinking and Social Influence in the 2008 US Presidential Election

MK Miller, G Wang, SR Kulkarni, HV Poor… - Pinceton …, 2011 - researchgate.net
This paper analyzes individual probabilistic predictions of state outcomes in the 2008 US
presidential election. Employing an original survey of more than 19,000 respondents, ours is …

Bandwagon effect siłą sondażokracji. Po co mediom sondaże w okresie międzywyborczym?

T Gackowski - 2011 - open.icm.edu.pl
Bandwagon effect. Po co mediom sondaże w okresie międzywyborczym Sondaże poparcia
politycznego stanowią jeden z głównych punktów odniesienia nie tylko w okresie kampanii …

Does Leading in Polls Make Candidates More Appealing? Experimenting with the Microfoundations of Momentum

T Donovan - Experimenting with the Microfoundations of …, 2011 - papers.ssrn.com
Several nations ban the release of pre-election poll results based on the assumption that
voters will be adversely influenced by poll information. The AAPOR notes that there is no …

[PDF][PDF] Guerrero 2011: mitos, continuidades y rupturas

SG Marrero - El Cotidiano, 2011 - redalyc.org
Las elecciones celebradas en Guerrero en enero de 2011 han servido, a nuestro juicio,
para poner en cuestión varios de los mitos recurrentes sobre los procesos electorales en la …