[HTML][HTML] Barriers and opportunities for robust decision making approaches to support climate change adaptation in the developing world
Climate change adaptation is unavoidable, particularly in developing countries where the
adaptation deficit is often larger than in developed countries. Robust Decision Making …
adaptation deficit is often larger than in developed countries. Robust Decision Making …
Driving to safety: How many miles of driving would it take to demonstrate autonomous vehicle reliability?
N Kalra, SM Paddock - Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2016 - Elsevier
How safe are autonomous vehicles? The answer is critical for determining how autonomous
vehicles may shape motor vehicle safety and public health, and for developing sound …
vehicles may shape motor vehicle safety and public health, and for developing sound …
An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together?
A highly uncertain future due to changes in climate, technology and socio-economics has
led to the realisation that identification of “best-guess” future conditions might no longer be …
led to the realisation that identification of “best-guess” future conditions might no longer be …
[HTML][HTML] Guidance for transport planning and policymaking in the face of an uncertain future
G Lyons, C Davidson - Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2016 - Elsevier
Uncertainty of outcome is widely recognised as a concern facing decision-makers and their
advisors. In a number of spheres of policy, it appears uncertainty has intensified in the face …
advisors. In a number of spheres of policy, it appears uncertainty has intensified in the face …
Adaptation Pathways and Real Options Analysis: An approach to deep uncertainty in climate change adaptation policies
Governments face the daunting task of developing policies and making investment
decisions for climate change adaptation in an environment that consist of complex …
decisions for climate change adaptation in an environment that consist of complex …
Embracing uncertainty in policy-making: The case of the water sector
Recent research on policy-making under uncertainty in the water sector has contributed to
our understanding of types and sources of uncertainty as well as to the development of tools …
our understanding of types and sources of uncertainty as well as to the development of tools …
Robust global sensitivity analysis under deep uncertainty via scenario analysis
Complex social-ecological systems models typically need to consider deeply uncertain long
run future conditions. The influence of this deep (ie incalculable, uncontrollable) uncertainty …
run future conditions. The influence of this deep (ie incalculable, uncontrollable) uncertainty …
Choosing diverse sets of plausible scenarios in multidimensional exploratory futures techniques
S Lord, A Helfgott, JM Vervoort - Futures, 2016 - Elsevier
Morphological analysis allows any number of dimensions to be retained when framing future
conditions, and techniques within morphological analysis determine which combinations of …
conditions, and techniques within morphological analysis determine which combinations of …
Meaning and power in the design and development of policy experiments
Poorly designed or implemented policies impede a society's ability to adapt to changes in
the policy environment. In order to avoid such situations, pilot projects and other forms of …
the policy environment. In order to avoid such situations, pilot projects and other forms of …
Uncertainty management and the dynamic adjustment of deep decarbonization pathways
Contrary to 'static'pathways that are defined once for all, this article deals with the need for
policy makers to adopt a dynamic adaptive policy pathway for managing decarbonization …
policy makers to adopt a dynamic adaptive policy pathway for managing decarbonization …