[HTML][HTML] Excess all-cause and influenza-attributable mortality in Europe, December 2016 to February 2017

LS Vestergaard, J Nielsen, TG Krause… - …, 2017 - eurosurveillance.org
Since December 2016, excess all-cause mortality was observed in many European
countries, especially among people aged≥ 65 years. We estimated all-cause and influenza …

[HTML][HTML] Evaluation and comparison of statistical methods for early temporal detection of outbreaks: A simulation-based study

G Bédubourg, Y Le Strat - PloS one, 2017 - journals.plos.org
The objective of this paper is to evaluate a panel of statistical algorithms for temporal
outbreak detection. Based on a large dataset of simulated weekly surveillance time series …

Predictive modelling of Ross River virus notifications in southeastern Australia

Z Cutcher, E Williamson, SE Lynch, S Rowe… - Epidemiology & …, 2017 - cambridge.org
Ross River virus (RRV) is a mosquito-borne virus endemic to Australia. The disease, marked
by arthritis, myalgia and rash, has a complex epidemiology involving several mosquito …

[HTML][HTML] Implementation and initial analysis of a laboratory-based weekly biosurveillance system, Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur, France

M Huart, G Bedubourg, C Abat, P Colson… - Emerging Infectious …, 2017 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
We describe the implementation of an automated infectious disease surveillance system that
uses data collected from 210 microbiologic laboratories throughout the Provence-Alpes …

Forecasting acute respiratory infection cases in Southern Bogota: EARS vs. ARIMA and SARIMA

LE Jerónimo-Martínez… - … de Innovacion y …, 2017 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI) diseases are a major cause of hospitalization and death
worldwide. They are the leading cause of morbidity in developed countries and the leading …

[HTML][HTML] Early detection of meningitis outbreaks: Application of limited-baseline data

M Karami, M Ghalandari, J Poorolajal… - Iranian journal of public …, 2017 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Background: There is no published study evaluating the performance of cumulative sum
(CUSUM) algorithm on meningitis data with limited baseline period. This study aimed to …

[HTML][HTML] Value of evidence from syndromic surveillance with cumulative evidence from multiple data streams with delayed reporting

R Struchen, F Vial, MG Andersson - Scientific reports, 2017 - nature.com
Delayed reporting of health data may hamper the early detection of infectious diseases in
surveillance systems. Furthermore, combining multiple data streams, eg aiming at improving …

Towards exploiting social networks for detecting epidemic outbreaks

S Di Martino, S Romano, M Bertolotto… - Global Journal of …, 2017 - Springer
Social networks are becoming a valuable source of information for applications in many
domains. In particular, many studies have highlighted the potential of social networks for …

[HTML][HTML] Comparing the historical limits method with regression models for weekly monitoring of national notifiable diseases reports

H Zhou, H Burkom, TW Strine, S Katz, R Jajosky… - Journal of Biomedical …, 2017 - Elsevier
To compare the performance of the standard Historical Limits Method (HLM), with a modified
HLM (MHLM), the Farrington-like Method (FLM), and the Serfling-like Method (SLM) in …

Taylor's power law and the statistical modelling of infectious disease surveillance data

DG Enki, A Noufaily, P Farrington… - Journal of the Royal …, 2017 - academic.oup.com
Surveillance data collected on several hundred different infectious organisms over 20 years
have revealed striking power relationships between their variance and mean in successive …