Scenario processes for socio-environmental systems analysis of futures: a review of recent efforts and a salient research agenda for supporting decision making

S Elsawah, SH Hamilton, AJ Jakeman… - Science of the Total …, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper reviews the latest research on scenarios including the processes and products
for socio-environmental systems (SES) analysis, modeling and decision making. A group of …

Theories in futures studies: Examining the theory base of the futures field in light of survey results

M Minkkinen - World Futures Review, 2020 - journals.sagepub.com
This review article opens discussion on theories in futures studies by analyzing survey
results from Finland Futures Research Centre and using the results as an entry point to …

Energy modellers should explore extremes more systematically in scenarios

DL McCollum, A Gambhir, J Rogelj, C Wilson - Nature Energy, 2020 - nature.com
Scenarios are the primary tool for examining how current decisions shape the future, but the
future is affected as much by out-of-ordinary extremes as by generally expected trends …

Policy feedback and pathways: When change leads to endurance and continuity to change

C Daugbjerg, A Kay - Policy Sciences, 2020 - Springer
The policy feedback literature was initially concerned with explaining how positive feedback
could lead to self-reinforcing policy trajectories. More recently, policy scholars have devoted …

Bridging decision making under deep uncertainty (DMDU) and transition management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development

S Malekpour, WE Walker, FJ de Haan… - … Science & Policy, 2020 - Elsevier
Sustainable development is a long-term endeavour involving deep uncertainty and requiring
transformative change at multiple scales. To navigate such a grand challenge, new …

[HTML][HTML] An integrated framework for anticipating the future and dealing with uncertainty in policymaking

C van Dorsser, P Taneja, W Walker, V Marchau - Futures, 2020 - Elsevier
Policymakers need to make policies for an uncertain future, and policy analysts assist
policymakers in choosing preferred courses of action. Despite a longstanding recognition …

[HTML][HTML] What life-course research can contribute to futures studies

K Komp-Leukkunen - Futures, 2020 - Elsevier
Futures studies is a multidisciplinary field that integrates disciplinary information through
discussion. This article integrates information from life-course research with futures studies …

Putting adaptive planning into practice: A meta-analysis of current applications

S Malekpour, J Newig - Cities, 2020 - Elsevier
Adaptive planning, as opposed to the conventional 'predict-and-act'approach, has emerged
as a paradigm to increase the resilience of our built environment and infrastructure systems …

An integrated three-layered foresight framework

C van Dorsser, P Taneja - Foresight, 2020 - emerald.com
Purpose The paper aims to present an integrated foresight framework and method to
support decision-makers who are confronted with today's complex and rapidly changing …

[HTML][HTML] Foresight studies and their assessment in the public policy of two Chilean regional development strategies

P Aceituno Olivares - Cuadernos de Administración (Universidad del …, 2020 - scielo.org.co
Foresight analysis has been widely recommended as input for public policies in recent
years; however, in Latin America, studies regarding its benefits, difficulties, and effects have …