What will be the global impact of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19)? Answering this question requires accurate forecasting the spread of confirmed cases as well as analysis of …
The M4 Competition follows on from the three previous M competitions, the purpose of which was to learn from empirical evidence both how to improve the forecasting accuracy and how …
M Braei, S Wagner - arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.00433, 2020 - arxiv.org
Anomaly detection for time-series data has been an important research field for a long time. Seminal work on anomaly detection methods has been focussing on statistical approaches …
This is the first paper in a series of two that synthesizes, compares, and extends methods for causal inference with longitudinal panel data in a structural equation modeling (SEM) …
K Bandara, C Bergmeir, S Smyl - Expert systems with applications, 2020 - Elsevier
With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with …
Classifying forecasting methods as being either of a “machine learning” or “statistical” nature has become commonplace in parts of the forecasting literature and community, as …
NN Taleb - Jak nieprzewidywalne zdarzenia rządzą naszym …, 2020 - prawo.uni.wroc.pl
Od Yogiego Berry do Henriego Poincarégo Rozdział 10: SKANDAL PROGNOZOWANIA O niesprecyzowanej liczbie kochanków carycy Katarzyny Powrót ślepoty na Czarne Łabędzie …
The demand for a particular product or service is typically associated with different uncertainties that can make them volatile and challenging to predict. Demand …
RJ Hyndman - International Journal of Forecasting, 2020 - Elsevier
Forecasting competitions are now so widespread that it is often forgotten how controversial they were when first held, and how influential they have been over the years. I briefly review …