[HTML][HTML] A review of uncertainty quantification in deep learning: Techniques, applications and challenges
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods play a pivotal role in reducing the impact of
uncertainties during both optimization and decision making processes. They have been …
uncertainties during both optimization and decision making processes. They have been …
Reframing strategic, managed retreat for transformative climate adaptation
Human societies will transform to address climate change and other stressors. How they
choose to transform will depend on what societal values they prioritize. Managed retreat can …
choose to transform will depend on what societal values they prioritize. Managed retreat can …
[HTML][HTML] The future of sensitivity analysis: an essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support
Sensitivity analysis (SA) is en route to becoming an integral part of mathematical modeling.
The tremendous potential benefits of SA are, however, yet to be fully realized, both for …
The tremendous potential benefits of SA are, however, yet to be fully realized, both for …
Multisector dynamics: Advancing the science of complex adaptive human‐Earth systems
Abstract The field of MultiSector Dynamics (MSD) explores the dynamics and co‐
evolutionary pathways of human and Earth systems with a focus on critical goods, services …
evolutionary pathways of human and Earth systems with a focus on critical goods, services …
Europe (Chapter 13)
Our current 1.1° C warmer world is already affecting natural and human systems in Europe
(very high confidence1). Since AR5, there has been a substantial increase in detected or …
(very high confidence1). Since AR5, there has been a substantial increase in detected or …
Cities and settlements by the sea
Cities and settlements (C&S) by the sea are on the frontline of climate change—they face
climate-compounded risks that are amongst the highest, but are a key source of innovation …
climate-compounded risks that are amongst the highest, but are a key source of innovation …
Exploratory modeling for analyzing coupled human-natural systems under uncertainty
Modeling is a crucial approach for understanding the past and exploring the future of
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …
Framing and context of the report
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the leading international body
for assessing the science related to climate change. It provides policymakers with regular …
for assessing the science related to climate change. It provides policymakers with regular …
Adaptation to uncertain sea-level rise; how uncertainty in Antarctic mass-loss impacts the coastal adaptation strategy of the Netherlands
M Haasnoot, J Kwadijk, J Van Alphen… - Environmental …, 2020 - iopscience.iop.org
Uncertainties in the rate and magnitude of sea-level rise (SLR) complicate decision making
on coastal adaptation. Large uncertainty arises from potential ice mass-loss from Antarctica …
on coastal adaptation. Large uncertainty arises from potential ice mass-loss from Antarctica …
[HTML][HTML] Decision making under deep uncertainties: A review of the applicability of methods in practice
MCB Stanton, K Roelich - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2021 - Elsevier
Deep uncertainties like environmental and socio-economic changes create challenges to
decision making. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) methods are …
decision making. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) methods are …