Systematic climate model biases in the large‐scale patterns of recent sea‐surface temperature and sea‐level pressure change

RCJ Wills, Y Dong, C Proistosecu… - Geophysical …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Observed surface temperature trends over recent decades are characterized by (a)
intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern …

Data-driven predictions of the time remaining until critical global warming thresholds are reached

NS Diffenbaugh, EA Barnes - Proceedings of the National …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
Leveraging artificial neural networks (ANNs) trained on climate model output, we use the
spatial pattern of historical temperature observations to predict the time until critical global …

Near-term tropical cyclone risk and coupled Earth system model biases

AH Sobel, CY Lee, SG Bowen… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
Most current climate models predict that the equatorial Pacific will evolve under greenhouse
gas–induced warming to a more El Niño-like state over the next several decades, with a …

On the effect of historical SST patterns on radiative feedback

T Andrews, A Bodas‐Salcedo… - Journal of …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We investigate the dependence of radiative feedback on the pattern of sea‐surface
temperature (SST) change in 14 Atmospheric General Circulation Models (AGCMs) forced …

Two-way teleconnections between the Southern Ocean and the tropical Pacific via a dynamic feedback

Y Dong, KC Armour, DS Battisti… - Journal of …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Despite substantial global mean warming, surface cooling has occurred in both the tropical
eastern Pacific Ocean and the Southern Ocean over the past 40 years, influencing both …

Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity

KC Armour, C Proistosescu, Y Dong… - Proceedings of the …, 2024 - National Acad Sciences
The observed rate of global warming since the 1970s has been proposed as a strong
constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) and transient climate response (TCR) …

Antarctic ice‐sheet meltwater reduces transient warming and climate sensitivity through the sea‐surface temperature pattern effect

Y Dong, AG Pauling, S Sadai… - Geophysical Research …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Coupled global climate models (GCMs) generally fail to reproduce the observed sea‐
surface temperature (SST) trend pattern since the 1980s. The model‐observation …

Historical changes in wind‐driven ocean circulation can accelerate global warming

K McMonigal, S Larson, S Hu… - Geophysical Research …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Mitigation and adaptation strategies for climate change depend on accurate climate
projections for the coming decades. While changes in radiative heat fluxes are known to …

[HTML][HTML] Is anthropogenic global warming accelerating?

S Jenkins, A Povey, A Gettelman, R Grainger… - Journal of …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Is Anthropogenic Global Warming Accelerating? in: Journal of Climate Volume 35 Issue 24 (2022)
Jump to Content Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo JOURNALS Artificial Intelligence for the …

Amplified seasonal range in precipitation minus evaporation

RP Allan - Environmental Research Letters, 2023 - iopscience.iop.org
Climate warming is intensifying the global water cycle, including the rate of fresh water flux
between the atmosphere and the surface, determined by precipitation minus evaporation …