The impact of COVID-19 on TB: a review of the data

CF McQuaid, A Vassall, T Cohen… - … of Tuberculosis and …, 2021 - ingentaconnect.com
Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, models predicted hundreds of thousands of additional TB
deaths as a result of health service disruption. To date, empirical evidence on the effects of …

A systematic review of social contact surveys to inform transmission models of close-contact infections

T Hoang, P Coletti, A Melegaro, J Wallinga… - …, 2019 - journals.lww.com
Background: Researchers increasingly use social contact data to inform models for
infectious disease spread with the aim of guiding effective policies about disease prevention …

[HTML][HTML] Individual variation in susceptibility or exposure to SARS-CoV-2 lowers the herd immunity threshold

MGM Gomes, MU Ferreira, RM Corder, JG King… - Journal of theoretical …, 2022 - Elsevier
Individual variation in susceptibility and exposure is subject to selection by natural infection,
accelerating the acquisition of immunity, and reducing herd immunity thresholds and …

Projecting social contact matrices in 152 countries using contact surveys and demographic data

K Prem, AR Cook, M Jit - PLoS computational biology, 2017 - journals.plos.org
Heterogeneities in contact networks have a major effect in determining whether a pathogen
can become epidemic or persist at endemic levels. Epidemic models that determine which …

Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling

D Mistry, M Litvinova, A Pastore y Piontti… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
Mathematical and computational modeling approaches are increasingly used as
quantitative tools in the analysis and forecasting of infectious disease epidemics. The …

Potent protection against H5N1 and H7N9 influenza via childhood hemagglutinin imprinting

KM Gostic, M Ambrose, M Worobey, JO Lloyd-Smith - Science, 2016 - science.org
Two zoonotic influenza A viruses (IAV) of global concern, H5N1 and H7N9, exhibit
unexplained differences in age distribution of human cases. Using data from all known …

Projecting contact matrices in 177 geographical regions: An update and comparison with empirical data for the COVID-19 era

K Prem, K Zandvoort, P Klepac, RM Eggo… - PLoS computational …, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Mathematical models have played a key role in understanding the spread of directly-
transmissible infectious diseases such as Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), as well as …

Estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices

J Hilton, MJ Keeling - PLoS computational biology, 2020 - journals.plos.org
The 2019-2020 pandemic of atypical pneumonia (COVID-19) caused by the virus SARS-
CoV-2 has spread globally and has the potential to infect large numbers of people in every …

Reactive school closure weakens the network of social interactions and reduces the spread of influenza

M Litvinova, QH Liu, ES Kulikov… - Proceedings of the …, 2019 - National Acad Sciences
School-closure policies are considered one of the most promising nonpharmaceutical
interventions for mitigating seasonal and pandemic influenza. However, their effectiveness …

Patterns of human social contact and contact with animals in Shanghai, China

J Zhang, P Klepac, JM Read, A Rosello, X Wang… - Scientific reports, 2019 - nature.com
East Asia is as a principal hotspot for emerging zoonotic infections. Understanding the likely
pathways for their emergence and spread requires knowledge on human-human and …