Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

K Sherratt, H Gruson, H Johnson, R Niehus, B Prasse… - Elife, 2023 - elifesciences.org
Background: Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational
awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent …

COVID-19 forecasting using shifted Gaussian Mixture Model with similarity-based estimation

E Külah, YM Çetinkaya, AG Özer, H Alemdar - Expert Systems with …, 2023 - Elsevier
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a pronounced disturbance in the social environments
and economies of many countries worldwide. Credible forecasting methods to predict the …

Learning from the past: A short term forecast method for the COVID-19 incidence curve

JD Morel, JM Morel, L Alvarez - PLoS Computational Biology, 2023 - journals.plos.org
The COVID-19 pandemy has created a radically new situation where most countries provide
raw measurements of their daily incidence and disclose them in real time. This enables new …

[HTML][HTML] Explicit modeling of antibody levels for infectious disease simulations in the context of SARS-CoV-2

SA Müller, S Paltra, J Rehmann, K Nagel, TOF Conrad - Iscience, 2023 - cell.com
Measurable levels of immunoglobulin G antibodies develop after infections with and
vaccinations against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) …