Sudden stratospheric warmings

MP Baldwin, B Ayarzagüena, T Birner… - Reviews of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are impressive fluid dynamical events in which
large and rapid temperature increases in the winter polar stratosphere (∼ 10–50 km) are …

Stratospheric drivers of extreme events at the Earth's surface

DIV Domeisen, AH Butler - Communications Earth & Environment, 2020 - nature.com
The stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere at heights between 10-50 km, is an important
source of variability for the weather and climate at the Earth's surface on timescales of weeks …

The remarkably strong Arctic stratospheric polar vortex of winter 2020: Links to record‐breaking Arctic oscillation and ozone loss

ZD Lawrence, J Perlwitz, AH Butler… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Northern Hemisphere (NH) polar winter stratosphere of 2019/2020 featured an
exceptionally strong and cold stratospheric polar vortex. Wave activity from the troposphere …

Windows of opportunity for skillful forecasts subseasonal to seasonal and beyond

A Mariotti, C Baggett, EA Barnes… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
There is high demand and a growing expectation for predictions of environmental conditions
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …

[HTML][HTML] Advances in the subseasonal prediction of extreme events: Relevant case studies across the globe

DIV Domeisen, CJ White… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Alexander, LV, M. Bador, R. Roca, S. Contractor, MG Donat, and PL Nguyen, 2020:
Intercomparison of annual precipitation indices and extremes over global land areas from in …

Springtime arctic ozone depletion forces northern hemisphere climate anomalies

M Friedel, G Chiodo, A Stenke, DIV Domeisen… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
Large-scale chemical depletion of ozone due to anthropogenic emissions occurs over
Antarctica as well as, to a lesser degree, the Arctic. Surface climate predictability in the …

How do intermittency and simultaneous processes obfuscate the Arctic influence on midlatitude winter extreme weather events?

JE Overland, TJ Ballinger, J Cohen… - Environmental …, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
Pronounced changes in the Arctic environment add a new potential driver of anomalous
weather patterns in midlatitudes that affect billions of people. Recent studies of these …

[HTML][HTML] The 2019 Southern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex weakening and its impacts

EP Lim, HH Hendon, AH Butler… - Bulletin of the …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
This study offers an overview of the low-frequency (ie, monthly to seasonal) evolution,
dynamics, predictability, and surface impacts of a rare Southern Hemisphere (SH) …

Northern hemisphere cold air outbreaks are more likely to be severe during weak polar vortex conditions

J Huang, P Hitchcock, AC Maycock… - … Earth & Environment, 2021 - nature.com
Severe cold air outbreaks have significant impacts on human health, energy use,
agriculture, and transportation. Anomalous behavior of the Arctic stratospheric polar vortex …

Network-based forecasting of climate phenomena

J Ludescher, M Martin, N Boers… - Proceedings of the …, 2021 - National Acad Sciences
Network theory, as emerging from complex systems science, can provide critical predictive
power for mitigating the global warming crisis and other societal challenges. Here we …