The influence of El Niño on springtime synoptic-scale precipitation extremes in Southeastern China: insights from CMIP6 model simulations

D Cao, CY Tam, K Xu - Climate Dynamics, 2024 - Springer
This study focuses on El Niño impacts on springtime extreme precipitation in Southeastern
China (SEC) by comparing observations with data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison …

Asymmetry of probabilistic prediction skills of the midsummer surface air temperature over the middle and lower reach of the Yangtze River valley

S Tang, S Qiao, T Feng, Y Wang, Y Yang, Z Zhang… - Climate Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
Using the prediction data from the Global Seasonal Forecast version 5 (GloSea5) during the
1993–2016 period, the probabilistic prediction skills of the midsummer (July and August) …

Forcing mechanism of the Silk Road pattern and the sensitivity of Rossby‐wave source hotspots to mean‐state winds

RKK Li, CY Tam, NC Lau, SJ Sohn… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Silk Road pattern (SRP) is a leading mode of Eurasian atmospheric variability
in boreal summer. It remains challenging for many models to predict the temporal phase of …

A case study of deviant El Niño influence on the 2023 monsoon: An anecdote involving IOD, MJO and equivalent barotropic rossby waves

N Mahendra, N Chilukoti, JS Chowdary, S Renuka - Climate Dynamics, 2024 - Springer
Abstract Historically, El Niño events have consistently signalled below-average monsoon
rainfall in India excluding years like 1997. Despite 2023 being an El Niño year, India …

Sea surface temperature anomalies in different ocean basins affecting the interannual variations of summer precipitation in low-latitude highlands of Southeast Asia

Z Dong, R Yang, J Cao, L Wang, G Yang - Climate Dynamics, 2023 - Springer
This study investigates the effects of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in different
ocean basins driving the interannual variations of summer precipitation in low-latitude …

Improvement of decadal predictions of monthly extreme Mei-yu rainfall via a causality guided approach

KS Ng, GC Leckebusch, KI Hodges - Environmental Research …, 2024 - iopscience.iop.org
While the improved performance of climate prediction systems has allowed better
predictions of the East Asian Summer Monsoon rainfall to be made, the ability to predict …

A causality-guided statistical approach for modeling extreme Mei-yu rainfall based on known large-scale modes—a pilot study

KS Ng, GC Leckebusch, KI Hodges - Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2022 - Springer
Extreme Mei-yu rainfall (MYR) can cause catastrophic impacts to the economic development
and societal welfare in China. While significant improvements have been made in climate …

An evaluation of the effectiveness of known large-scale modes for predicting extreme Mei-yu precipitation over China using causality driven approach

K Ng, G Leckebusch, K Hodges - EGU General Assembly …, 2021 - ui.adsabs.harvard.edu
Record-breaking amount of Mei-yu rainfall around the Yangtze River has been observed in
the 2020 Mei-yu season. This shows the necessity and urgency of accurate prediction of …