Climate policy uncertainty and the US economic cycle

J Yang, D Dong, C Liang - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2024 - Elsevier
Given the concerns arising from climate change, countries, regions, and organizations
worldwide have developed and implemented policy frameworks and measures aimed at …

Grouped variable selection with discrete optimization: Computational and statistical perspectives

H Hazimeh, R Mazumder, P Radchenko - The Annals of Statistics, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Grouped variable selection with discrete optimization: Computational and statistical
perspectives Page 1 The Annals of Statistics 2023, Vol. 51, No. 1, 1–32 https://doi.org/10.1214/21-AOS2155 …

The boosted Hodrick‐Prescott filter is more general than you might think

Z Mei, PCB Phillips, Z Shi - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
The global financial crisis and Covid‐19 recession have renewed discussion concerning
trend‐cycle discovery in macroeconomic data, and boosting has recently upgraded the …

A review of some recent developments in the modelling and seasonal adjustment of infra-monthly time series

K Webel - 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
Infra-monthly time series have increasingly appeared on the radar of official statistics in
recent years, mostly as a consequence of a general digital transformation process and the …

The boosted HP filter is more general than you might think

Z Mei, PCB Phillips, Z Shi - arXiv preprint arXiv:2209.09810, 2022 - arxiv.org
The global financial crisis and Covid recession have renewed discussion concerning trend-
cycle discovery in macroeconomic data, and boosting has recently upgraded the popular HP …

[HTML][HTML] Modeling and forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic with heterogeneous autoregression approaches: South Korea

E Hwang, SM Yu - Results in Physics, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper deals with time series analysis for COVID-19 in South Korea. We adopt
heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) time series models and discuss the statistical …

The statistical challenges of modelling COVID-19

P Dolton - National Institute Economic Review, 2021 - cambridge.org
In 2020–2021, the world has been gripped by a pandemic that no living person has ever
known. The coronavirus pandemic is undoubtedly the greatest challenge the world has …

Bayesian Estimation of Epidemiological Models: Methods, Causality, and Policy Trade-Offs

J Arias, J Fernández-Villaverde, JF Rubio-Ramírez… - 2021 - papers.ssrn.com
We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation and causality assessment in
epidemiological models. The key to our approach is the use of sequential Monte Carlo …

Disentangling the effect of measures, variants, and vaccines on SARS-CoV-2 infections in England: a dynamic intensity model

O Boldea, A Cornea-Madeira… - The Econometrics …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
In this paper, we estimate the path of daily SARS-CoV-2 infections in England from the
beginning of the pandemic until the end of 2021. We employ a dynamic intensity model …

Modeling COVID-19 Infection Rates by Regime-Switching Unobserved Components Models

P Haimerl, T Hartl - Econometrics, 2023 - mdpi.com
The COVID-19 pandemic is characterized by a recurring sequence of peaks and troughs.
This article proposes a regime-switching unobserved components (UC) approach to model …