Z Mei, PCB Phillips, Z Shi - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
The global financial crisis and Covid‐19 recession have renewed discussion concerning trend‐cycle discovery in macroeconomic data, and boosting has recently upgraded the …
Infra-monthly time series have increasingly appeared on the radar of official statistics in recent years, mostly as a consequence of a general digital transformation process and the …
The global financial crisis and Covid recession have renewed discussion concerning trend- cycle discovery in macroeconomic data, and boosting has recently upgraded the popular HP …
E Hwang, SM Yu - Results in Physics, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper deals with time series analysis for COVID-19 in South Korea. We adopt heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) time series models and discuss the statistical …
P Dolton - National Institute Economic Review, 2021 - cambridge.org
In 2020–2021, the world has been gripped by a pandemic that no living person has ever known. The coronavirus pandemic is undoubtedly the greatest challenge the world has …
We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation and causality assessment in epidemiological models. The key to our approach is the use of sequential Monte Carlo …
O Boldea, A Cornea-Madeira… - The Econometrics …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
In this paper, we estimate the path of daily SARS-CoV-2 infections in England from the beginning of the pandemic until the end of 2021. We employ a dynamic intensity model …
The COVID-19 pandemic is characterized by a recurring sequence of peaks and troughs. This article proposes a regime-switching unobserved components (UC) approach to model …