Method selection in short-term eruption forecasting

MG Whitehead, MS Bebbington - Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal …, 2021 - Elsevier
For accurate and timely information on the evolving state of our volcanoes we need reliable
short-term forecasts. These forecasts directly impact crisis management from evacuations …

Comparison between automated and manual detection of lava fountains from fixed monitoring thermal cameras at Etna Volcano, Italy

S Calvari, G Nunnari - Remote Sensing, 2022 - mdpi.com
The Etna volcano is renowned worldwide for its extraordinary lava fountains that rise several
kilometers above the vent and feed eruptive columns, then drift hundreds of kilometers away …

Partly cloudy with a chance of lava flows: Forecasting volcanic eruptions in the twenty‐first century

MP Poland, KR Anderson - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
A primary goal of volcanology is forecasting hazardous eruptive activity. Despite much
progress over the last century, however, volcanoes still erupt with no detected precursors …

Degassing behaviour at basaltic volcanoes: New insights from experimental investigations of different conduit geometry and magma viscosity

L Spina, A Cannata, D Morgavi, D Perugini - Earth-science reviews, 2019 - Elsevier
Understanding gas-magma dynamics in volcanic conduits and linking them with the
associated geophysical signals at the surface is of fundamental importance in monitoring …

Shallow conduit dynamics fuel the unexpected paroxysms of Stromboli volcano during the summer 2019

M Viccaro, A Cannata, F Cannavò, R De Rosa… - Scientific Reports, 2021 - nature.com
Open conduit basaltic volcanoes can be potentially hazardous as the eruptive activity may
turn suddenly from a steady state to highly explosive. Unexpected changes in explosion …

Paroxysmal explosions, lava fountains and ash plumes at Etna Volcano: Eruptive processes and hazard implications

S Calvari, F Cannavò, A Bonaccorso… - Frontiers in Earth …, 2018 - frontiersin.org
Lava fountains have a major impact on the local population since they cause ash plumes
that spread several kilometers above and hundreds of kilometers away from the crater. Ash …

Automatic early warning to derive eruption source parameters of paroxysmal activity at Mt. Etna (Italy)

L Mereu, FS Marzano, C Bonadonna, G Lacanna… - Remote Sensing, 2023 - mdpi.com
Tephra dispersal and fallout resulting from explosive activity of Mt. Etna (Italy) represent a
significant threat to the surrounding inhabited areas as well as to aviation operations. An …

Bayesian network modeling and expert elicitation for probabilistic eruption forecasting: Pilot study for Whakaari/White Island, New Zealand

A Christophersen, NI Deligne, AM Hanea… - Frontiers in Earth …, 2018 - frontiersin.org
Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical models that provide a robust and
flexible framework for understanding complex systems. Limited case studies have …

A methodology for uncertainty analysis of landslides triggered by an earthquake

S Khalaj, F BahooToroody, MM Abaei… - Computers and …, 2020 - Elsevier
Strong earthquakes lead to slopes instability in mountainous regions and subsequently
trigger landslides. Landslides may cause serious damage to infrastructure such as roads …

Tracking the summit activity of Mt. Etna volcano between July 2019 and January 2020 by integrating petrological and geophysical data

M Giuffrida, M Scandura, G Costa, F Zuccarello… - Journal of Volcanology …, 2021 - Elsevier
The evolution of volcanic activity observed at the New South East Crater (NSEC) and
Voragine (VOR) between July 2019 and January 2020 has been deciphered by taking into …