The economics and law of sovereign debt and default

U Panizza, F Sturzenegger, J Zettelmeyer - Journal of economic …, 2009 - aeaweb.org
This paper surveys the recent literature on sovereign debt and relates it to the evolution of
the legal principles underlying the sovereign debt market and the experience of the most …

Sovereign debt restructurings 1950-2010: Literature survey, data, and stylized facts

MUS Das, MMG Papaioannou, C Trebesch - 2012 - books.google.com
This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt
restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of …

The costs of sovereign default

E Borensztein, U Panizza - IMF Staff Papers, 2009 - Springer
This paper empirically evaluates four types of costs that may result from an international
sovereign default: reputational costs, international trade exclusion costs, costs to the …

[HTML][HTML] Banks, government bonds, and default: What do the data say?

N Gennaioli, A Martin, S Rossi - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper analyzes sovereign bondholdings by 20,000 banks in 191 countries and 20
sovereign default episodes over 1998–2012, establishing two robust facts. First, banks hold …

[图书][B] Debt defaults and lessons from a decade of crises

F Sturzenegger, J Zettelmeyer - 2007 - books.google.com
Detailed case studies of debt defaults by Russia, Ukraine, Pakistan, Ecuador, Moldova, and
Uruguay, framed by a comprehensive discussion of the history, economic theory, legal …

Empirical research on sovereign debt and default

M Tomz, MLJ Wright - Annu. Rev. Econ., 2013 - annualreviews.org
In this article, we review the empirical literature about sovereign debt and default. As we
survey the work of economists, historians, and political scientists, we also emphasize …

[图书][B] Measuring fiscal vulnerability and fiscal stress: a proposed set of indicators

ME Baldacci, MJ McHugh, I Petrova - 2011 - books.google.com
This paper proposes a set of fiscal indicators to assess rollover risks using the conceptual
framework developed by Cottarelli (2011). These indicators provide early warning signals …

Sovereign risk and secondary markets

F Broner, A Martin, J Ventura - American Economic Review, 2010 - aeaweb.org
Conventional wisdom says that, in the absence of default penalties, sovereign risk destroys
all foreign asset trade. We show that this conventional wisdom rests on one implicit …

Rating the rating agencies: Anticipating currency crises or debt crises?

ANR Sy - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2004 - Elsevier
We revisit the question whether sovereign ratings predict financial crises. In line with
previous studies, we find that ratings do not predict currency crises and are instead …

Predicting financial crises with machine learning methods

L Liu, C Chen, B Wang - Journal of Forecasting, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Countries must establish an effective early warning system to predict financial crises in order
to avoid their catastrophic effects. To this end, we construct early warning systems based on …