Contextual bandit algorithms are ubiquitous tools for active sequential experimentation in healthcare and the tech industry. They involve online learning algorithms that adaptively …
We present a new theory of hypothesis testing. The main concept is the s-value, a notion of evidence which, unlike p-values, allows for effortlessly combining evidence from several …
M Stephens - … Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2023 - royalsocietypublishing.org
I discuss the benefits of looking through the 'Bayesian lens'(seeking a Bayesian interpretation of ostensibly non-Bayesian methods), and the dangers of wearing 'Bayesian …
Z Ren, RF Barber - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Abstract Model-X knockoffs is a flexible wrapper method for high-dimensional regression algorithms, which provides guaranteed control of the false discovery rate (FDR). Due to the …
M Bashari, A Epstein, Y Romano… - Advances in Neural …, 2024 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Conformal inference provides a general distribution-free method to rigorously calibrate the output of any machine learning algorithm for novelty detection. While this approach has …
In the recent Basel Accords, the Expected Shortfall (ES) replaces the Value-at-Risk (VaR) as the standard risk measure for market risk in the banking sector, making it the most important …
Probability forecasts for binary events play a central role in many applications. Their quality is commonly assessed with proper scoring rules, which assign forecasts numerical scores …
We study how to combine p-values and e-values, and design multiple testing procedures where both p-values and e-values are available for every hypothesis. Our results provide a …