[PDF][PDF] Czarny łabędź

NN Taleb - Jak nieprzewidywalne zdarzenia rządzą naszym …, 2020 - prawo.uni.wroc.pl
Od Yogiego Berry do Henriego Poincarégo Rozdział 10: SKANDAL PROGNOZOWANIA O
niesprecyzowanej liczbie kochanków carycy Katarzyny Powrót ślepoty na Czarne Łabędzie …

[图书][B] Черный лебедь

НН Талеб - 2023 - books.google.com
За одно только последнее десятилетие человечество пережило ряд тяжелейших
катастроф, потрясений и катаклизмов, не укладывающихся в рамки самых …

[图书][B] Der Schwarze Schwan

NN Taleb - 2008 - doc1.bibliothek.li
Der Schwarze Schwan Page 1 Nassim Nicholas Taleb Der Schwarze Schwan Die Macht
höchst unwahrscheinlicher Ereignisse Aus dem Amerikanischen von Ingrid Proß-Gill HANSER …

[图书][B] Emotions in finance: Distrust and uncertainty in global markets

J Pixley - 2004 - books.google.com
Fear and greed are terms that make light of the uncertainty in the finance world. Huge global
financial institutions rely on emotional relations of trust and distrust to suppress the …

[图书][B] Il cigno nero. Come l'improbabile governa la nostra vita

NN Taleb - 2009 - books.google.com
Page 1 Nassim Nicholas Taleb Il Cigno nero Come l'improbabile governa la nostra vita
ilSaggiatore S Tascabili Page 2 Page 3 Tascabili 77 Saggi Page 4 Page 5 Nassim Nicholas …

Forecasting metal prices: Do forecasters herd?

C Pierdzioch, JC Rülke, G Stadtmann - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2013 - Elsevier
We analyze more than 20,000 forecasts of nine metal prices at four different forecast
horizons. We document that forecasts are heterogeneous and report that anti-herding …

Inflation expectations: Australian consumer survey data versus the bond market

T Basse, C Wegener - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper analyzes the relationship between interest rates, inflation expectations and
inflation rates in Australia using the approach suggested by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) to …

[图书][B] Lebăda neagră: impactul foarte puțin probabilului

NN Taleb - 2008 - books.google.com
Nassim Nicholas Taleb și-a consacrat întreaga activitate de cercetare problemelor pe care
le ridică nesiguranța, probabilitatea și cunoașterea. Experiența de douăzeci de ani în …

Strategic bias, herding behaviour and economic forecasts

J Pons‐Novell - Journal of Forecasting, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
Professional forecasters can have other objectives as well as minimizing expected squared
forecast errors. This paper studies whether the people or companies which make forecasts …

Herding behavior of business cycle forecasters

JC Rülke, M Silgoner, J Wörz - International Journal of Forecasting, 2016 - Elsevier
Using a large international data set, we analyze whether business cycle forecasters herd or
anti-herd. In general, we find evidence for anti-herding, ie forecasters appear to scatter their …