Spline local basis methods for nonparametric density estimation

JL Kirkby, Á Leitao, D Nguyen - Statistic Surveys, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
This work reviews the literature on spline local basis methods for non-parametric density
estimation. Particular attention is paid to B-spline density estimators which have …

Depressed demand for crop insurance contracts, and a rationale based on third generation Prospect Theory

H Feng, X Du, DA Hennessy - Agricultural Economics, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
When actuarially fair insurance for a major risk is available then standard economic theory
posits that those subject to the risk should insure. In agriculture, it is common for producers …

Plant growth stages and weather index insurance design

J Zou, M Odening, O Okhrin - Annals of Actuarial Science, 2023 - cambridge.org
Given the assumption that weather risks affect crop yields, we designed a weather index
insurance product for soybean producers in the US state of Illinois. By separating the entire …

Recency effects and participation at the extensive and intensive margins in the US Federal Crop Insurance Program

Y Che, H Feng, DA Hennessy - The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance …, 2020 - Springer
Participation in the US Federal Crop Insurance Program (FCIP) has increased over time at
both extensive (insured acres) and intensive (coverage level) margins, but there are clear …

Systemic risk, relative subsidy rates, and area yield insurance choice

X Gong, DA Hennessy, H Feng - American Journal of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We investigate the nature of crop yield systemic risk and its implications for farmers' area
yield insurance choices. A theory‐grounded, normalized measure of systemic risk, R 2, is …

Modeling Implied Volatility Surface Using B-Splines with Time-Dependent Coefficients Predicted by Tree-Based Machine Learning Methods

Z Chen, Y Li, CL Yu - Mathematics, 2024 - mdpi.com
Implied volatility is known to have a string structure (smile curve) for a given time to maturity
and can be captured by the B-spline. The parameters characterizing the curves can change …

Premium subsidies and selection in the federal crop insurance program

J Yu, ED Perry - Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Understanding how subsidies affect the selection of farms with different risk exposure into
insurance products is key to evaluating the efficiency of government‐supported insurance …

Flexible weather index insurance design with penalized splines

KS Tan, J Zhang - North American Actuarial Journal, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
In this article, we propose a flexible framework for the design of weather index insurance
(WII) based on penalized spline methods. The aim is to find the indemnity function that …

[PDF][PDF] The Impact of Stocks on Correlations of Crop Yields and Prices using Semiparametric Quantile Regression with Penalized B-splines

M Stuart, C Yu, DA Hennessy - 2023 - aae-seminars.s3.us-east-2 …
Crop yields and harvest prices are often considered to be negatively correlated, thus acting
as a natural risk management hedge through stabilizing revenues. Storage theory gives …

Applications of machine learning in asset pricing, prediction of extreme returns and implied volatility surface

Z Chen - 2022 - search.proquest.com
Abstract Machine learning methods have undergone rapid development in recent years, and
they have been becoming popular in financial industry. Researchers have demonstrated …