Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects
Internal variability in the climate system confounds assessment of human-induced climate
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …
Integrating scientific knowledge with machine learning for engineering and environmental systems
There is a growing consensus that solutions to complex science and engineering problems
require novel methodologies that are able to integrate traditional physics-based modeling …
require novel methodologies that are able to integrate traditional physics-based modeling …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
[PDF][PDF] Integrating physics-based modeling with machine learning: A survey
There is a growing consensus that solutions to complex science and engineering problems
require novel methodologies that are able to integrate traditional physics-based modeling …
require novel methodologies that are able to integrate traditional physics-based modeling …
The timing of unprecedented hydrological drought under climate change
Droughts that exceed the magnitudes of historical variation ranges could occur increasingly
frequently under future climate conditions. However, the time of the emergence of …
frequently under future climate conditions. However, the time of the emergence of …
[PDF][PDF] The central Chile mega drought (2010–2018): a climate dynamics perspective
Central Chile, home to more than 10 million inhabitants, has experienced an uninterrupted
sequence of dry years since 2010 with mean rainfall deficits of 20–40%. The so-called Mega …
sequence of dry years since 2010 with mean rainfall deficits of 20–40%. The so-called Mega …
Evaluation of the large EURO‐CORDEX regional climate model ensemble
The use of regional climate model (RCM)‐based projections for providing regional climate
information in a research and climate service contexts is currently expanding very fast. This …
information in a research and climate service contexts is currently expanding very fast. This …
Anthropogenic amplification of precipitation variability over the past century
As the climate warms, the consequent moistening of the atmosphere increases extreme
precipitation. Precipitation variability should also increase, producing larger wet-dry swings …
precipitation. Precipitation variability should also increase, producing larger wet-dry swings …
[HTML][HTML] Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …
Robust future changes in meteorological drought in CMIP6 projections despite uncertainty in precipitation
Quantifying how climate change drives drought is a priority to inform policy and adaptation
planning. We show that the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) …
planning. We show that the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) …