Estimating the change in soccer's home advantage during the Covid-19 pandemic using bivariate Poisson regression

LS Benz, MJ Lopez - AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, 2023 - Springer
In wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, 2019–2020 soccer seasons across the world were
postponed and eventually made up during the summer months of 2020. Researchers from a …

Gnnrank: Learning global rankings from pairwise comparisons via directed graph neural networks

Y He, Q Gan, D Wipf, GD Reinert… - international …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
Recovering global rankings from pairwise comparisons has wide applications from time
synchronization to sports team ranking. Pairwise comparisons corresponding to matches in …

Forty years of score-based soccer match outcome prediction: an experimental review

O Hubáček, G Šourek, F Železný - IMA Journal of Management …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
We investigate the state-of-the-art in score-based soccer match outcome modelling to
identify the top-performing methods across diverse classes of existing approaches to the …

Models and Rating Systems for Head-to-Head Competition

ME Glickman, AC Jones - Annual Review of Statistics and Its …, 2024 - annualreviews.org
One of the most important tasks in sports analytics is the development of binary response
models for head-to-head game outcomes to estimate team and player strength. We discuss …

The open international soccer database for machine learning

W Dubitzky, P Lopes, J Davis, D Berrar - Machine learning, 2019 - Springer
How well can machine learning predict the outcome of a soccer game, given the most
commonly and freely available match data? To help answer this question and to facilitate …

A framework of interpretable match results prediction in football with FIFA ratings and team formation

CCK Yeung, R Bunker, K Fujii - Plos one, 2023 - journals.plos.org
While forecasting football match results has long been a popular topic, a practical model for
football participants, such as coaches and players, has not been considered in great detail …

Evaluating soccer match prediction models: a deep learning approach and feature optimization for gradient-boosted trees

C Yeung, R Bunker, R Umemoto, K Fujii - Machine Learning, 2024 - Springer
Abstract Machine learning models have become increasingly popular for predicting the
results of soccer matches, however, the lack of publicly-available benchmark datasets has …

[HTML][HTML] Forecasting football match results using a player rating based model

B Holmes, IG McHale - International Journal of Forecasting, 2024 - Elsevier
The paper presents a model for forecasting the results of football matches, which takes into
account the abilities of the players on each team. The advantage of this approach is that the …

Learning from comparisons and choices

S Negahban, S Oh, KK Thekumparampil… - Journal of Machine …, 2018 - jmlr.org
When tracking user-specific online activities, each user's preference is revealed in the form
of choices and comparisons. For example, a user's purchase history is a record of her …

[PDF][PDF] Deep multilayer neural network for predicting the winner of football matches

S Anfilets, S Bezobrazov, V Golovko… - … Journal of Computing, 2020 - researchgate.net
In this work, we draw attention to prediction of football (soccer) match winner. We propose
the deep multilayer neural network based on elastic net regularization that predicts the …