ARIMA-based forecasting of the dynamics of confirmed Covid-19 cases for selected European countries

T Kufel - Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and …, 2020 - ceeol.com
Research background: On 11 March 2020, the Covid-19 epidemic was identified by the
World Health Organization (WHO) as a global pandemic. The rapid increase in the scale of …

Oscillations in US COVID-19 incidence and mortality data reflect diagnostic and reporting factors

A Bergman, Y Sella, P Agre, A Casadevall - Msystems, 2020 - Am Soc Microbiol
ABSTRACT The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic currently in process
differs from other infectious disease calamities that have previously plagued humanity in the …

Taming the spread of an epidemic by lockdown policies

S Federico, G Ferrari - Journal of mathematical economics, 2021 - Elsevier
We study the problem of a policymaker who aims at taming the spread of an epidemic while
minimizing its associated social costs. The main feature of our model lies in the fact that the …

Uncertainty quantification in epidemiological models for the COVID-19 pandemic

L Taghizadeh, A Karimi, C Heitzinger - Computers in Biology and Medicine, 2020 - Elsevier
Mathematical modeling of epidemiological diseases using differential equations are of great
importance in order to recognize the characteristics of the diseases and their outbreak. The …

Why are different estimates of the effective reproductive number so different? A case study on COVID-19 in Germany

EK Brockhaus, D Wolffram, T Stadler… - PLOS Computational …, 2023 - journals.plos.org
The effective reproductive number R t has taken a central role in the scientific, political, and
public discussion during the COVID-19 pandemic, with numerous real-time estimates of this …

[HTML][HTML] Robot Dance: A mathematical optimization platform for intervention against COVID-19 in a complex network

LG Nonato, P Peixoto, T Pereira, C Sagastizábal… - EURO Journal on …, 2022 - Elsevier
Robot Dance is a computational optimization platform developed in response to the COVID-
19 outbreak, to support the decision-making on public policies at a regional level. The tool is …

Identification and attribution of weekly periodic biases in epidemiological time series data

K Gallagher, R Creswell, D Gavaghan, B Lambert - medRxiv, 2023 - medrxiv.org
COVID-19 data exhibit various biases, not least a significant weekly periodic oscillation
observed globally in case and death data. There has been significant debate over whether …

A data first approach to modelling Covid-19

J Prasad - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
The primary data for Covid-19 pandemic is in the form of time series for the number of
confirmed, recovered and dead cases. This data is updated every day and is available for …

Foundations of COVID-19 with Focus on Global Comparative Epidemiology

A Krämer, P Rahimitabar, L Prüfer-Krämer - Covid-19 pandisziplinär und …, 2023 - Springer
In this article, basics and principles of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic including its virology,
lineage dynamics and variants of concern, clinical presentation and severity, and …

Embracing the institutional complexity of IS design with democratic characteristics: A configurational study of COVID-19 contact tracing software

S Huotari, JK Juntunen - 2024 - aisel.aisnet.org
The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted our societies with unprecedented magnitude.
Various social rules and technological solutions have been designed to limit the spread of …