Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo methods in global sensitivity analysis

G Ökten, Y Liu - Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo methods have enjoyed increasing popularity in
applications due to their faster convergence rate than Monte Carlo, and the existence of …

Conceptualizing a probabilistic risk and loss assessment framework for wildfires

N Elhami-Khorasani, H Ebrahimian, L Buja, SL Cutter… - Natural Hazards, 2022 - Springer
Wildfires are an essential part of a healthy ecosystem, yet the expansion of the wildland-
urban interface, combined with climatic changes and other anthropogenic activities, have …

Multifidelity prediction in wildfire spread simulation: Modeling, uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis

MM Valero, L Jofre, R Torres - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2021 - Elsevier
Wildfire behavior predictions typically suffer from significant uncertainty. However, wildfire
modeling uncertainties remain largely unquantified in the literature, mainly due to computing …

[HTML][HTML] Developing customized fuel models for shrub and bracken communities in Galicia (NW Spain)

JA Vega, JG Álvarez-González… - Journal of …, 2024 - Elsevier
Geospatial fire behaviour and fire hazard simulators, fire effects models and smoke emission
software commonly use standard fuel models in order to simplify data collection and the …

Integrating wildfires propagation prediction into early warning of electrical transmission line outages

S Dian, P Cheng, Q Ye, J Wu, R Luo, C Wang… - IEEE …, 2019 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Wildfires could pose a significant danger to electrical transmission lines and cause
considerable losses to the power grids and residents nearby. Previous studies of preventing …

A cloud-based framework for sensitivity analysis of natural hazard models

KC Ujjwal, S Garg, J Hilton, J Aryal - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2020 - Elsevier
Computational models for natural hazards usually require a large number of input
parameters that affect the model outcome in a complex manner. The sensitivity of the input …

Computing Shapley effects for sensitivity analysis

E Plischke, G Rabitti, E Borgonovo - SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty …, 2021 - SIAM
Shapley effects are attracting increasing attention as sensitivity measures. When the value
function is the conditional variance, they account for the individual and higher order effects …

Comparing risk-based fuel treatment prioritization with alternative strategies for enhancing protection and resource management objectives

MP Thompson, KC Vogler, JH Scott, C Miller - Fire Ecology, 2022 - Springer
Background Advances in fire modeling help quantify and map various components and
characterizations of wildfire risk and furthermore help evaluate the ability of fuel treatments …

Deciphering the impact of uncertainty on the accuracy of large wildfire spread simulations

A Benali, AR Ervilha, ACL Sá, PM Fernandes… - Science of the Total …, 2016 - Elsevier
Predicting wildfire spread is a challenging task fraught with uncertainties.'Perfect'predictions
are unfeasible since uncertainties will always be present. Improving fire spread predictions …

Global sensitivity analysis for uncertainty quantification in fire spread models

KC Ujjwal, J Aryal, S Garg, J Hilton - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2021 - Elsevier
Environmental models involve inherent uncertainties, the understanding of which is required
for use by practitioners. One method of uncertainty quantification is global sensitivity …