A guide to state–space modeling of ecological time series

M Auger‐Méthé, K Newman, D Cole… - Ecological …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
State–space models (SSMs) are an important modeling framework for analyzing ecological
time series. These hierarchical models are commonly used to model population dynamics …

Sequential neural likelihood: Fast likelihood-free inference with autoregressive flows

G Papamakarios, D Sterratt… - The 22nd international …, 2019 - proceedings.mlr.press
Abstract We present Sequential Neural Likelihood (SNL), a new method for Bayesian
inference in simulator models, where the likelihood is intractable but simulating data from …

Flexible statistical inference for mechanistic models of neural dynamics

JM Lueckmann, PJ Goncalves… - Advances in neural …, 2017 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Mechanistic models of single-neuron dynamics have been extensively studied in
computational neuroscience. However, identifying which models can quantitatively …

Likelihood-free mcmc with amortized approximate ratio estimators

J Hermans, V Begy, G Louppe - International conference on …, 2020 - proceedings.mlr.press
Posterior inference with an intractable likelihood is becoming an increasingly common task
in scientific domains which rely on sophisticated computer simulations. Typically, these …

Flexible and efficient simulation-based inference for models of decision-making

J Boelts, JM Lueckmann, R Gao, JH Macke - Elife, 2022 - elifesciences.org
Inferring parameters of computational models that capture experimental data is a central
task in cognitive neuroscience. Bayesian statistical inference methods usually require the …

Likelihood-free inference with emulator networks

JM Lueckmann, G Bassetto… - … on Advances in …, 2019 - proceedings.mlr.press
Abstract Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) provides methods for Bayesian
inference in simulation-based models which do not permit tractable likelihoods. We present …

Bayesian model updating of civil structures with likelihood-free inference approach and response reconstruction technique

P Ni, Q Han, X Du, X Cheng - Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 2022 - Elsevier
Bayesian inference methods typically require a considerable amount of computation time in
the calculation of forward models. This limitation restricts the application of Bayesian …

Variational methods for simulation-based inference

M Glöckler, M Deistler, JH Macke - arXiv preprint arXiv:2203.04176, 2022 - arxiv.org
We present Sequential Neural Variational Inference (SNVI), an approach to perform
Bayesian inference in models with intractable likelihoods. SNVI combines likelihood …

Bayesian deep net GLM and GLMM

MN Tran, N Nguyen, D Nott, R Kohn - Journal of Computational …, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
Deep feedforward neural networks (DFNNs) are a powerful tool for functional approximation.
We describe flexible versions of generalized linear and generalized linear mixed models …

Variance reduction properties of the reparameterization trick

M Xu, M Quiroz, R Kohn… - The 22nd international …, 2019 - proceedings.mlr.press
The reparameterization trick is widely used in variational inference as it yields more accurate
estimates of the gradient of the variational objective than alternative approaches such as the …