An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

SC Sherwood, MJ Webb, JD Annan… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …

An imperative to monitor Earth's energy imbalance

K von Schuckmann, MD Palmer, KE Trenberth… - Nature Climate …, 2016 - nature.com
The current Earth's energy imbalance (EEI) is mostly caused by human activity, and is
driving global warming. The absolute value of EEI represents the most fundamental metric …

Reconciling controversies about the 'global warming hiatus'

I Medhaug, MB Stolpe, EM Fischer, R Knutti - Nature, 2017 - nature.com
Between about 1998 and 2012, a time that coincided with political negotiations for
preventing climate change, the surface of Earth seemed hardly to warm. This phenomenon …

On the causal structure between CO2 and global temperature

A Stips, D Macias, C Coughlan, E Garcia-Gorriz… - Scientific reports, 2016 - nature.com
We use a newly developed technique that is based on the information flow concept to
investigate the causal structure between the global radiative forcing and the annual global …

Emergent constraints on Earth's transient and equilibrium response to doubled CO2 from post-1970s global warming

D Jiménez-de-la-Cuesta, T Mauritsen - Nature Geoscience, 2019 - nature.com
Future global warming is determined by both greenhouse gas emission pathways and
Earth's transient and equilibrium climate response to doubled atmospheric CO2. Energy …

Variation in climate sensitivity and feedback parameters during the historical period

JM Gregory, T Andrews - Geophysical Research Letters, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
We investigate the climate feedback parameter α (W m− 2 K− 1) during the historical period
(since 1871) in experiments using the HadGEM2 and HadCM3 atmosphere general …

Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures

K Cowtan, Z Hausfather, E Hawkins… - Geophysical …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
The level of agreement between climate model simulations and observed surface
temperature change is a topic of scientific and policy concern. While the Earth system …

[HTML][HTML] A limited role for unforced internal variability in twentieth-century warming

K Haustein, FEL Otto, V Venema, P Jacobs… - Journal of …, 2019 - journals.ametsoc.org
Aldrin, M., M. Holden, P. Guttorp, R. Skeie, G. Myhre, and T. Berntsen, 2012: Bayesian
estimation of climate sensitivity based on a simple climate model fitted to observations of …

The hemispheric contrast in cloud microphysical properties constrains aerosol forcing

IL McCoy, DT McCoy, R Wood… - Proceedings of the …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
The change in planetary albedo due to aerosol− cloud interactions during the industrial era
is the leading source of uncertainty in inferring Earth's climate sensitivity to increased …

[HTML][HTML] Overview of the Antarctic circumnavigation expedition: Study of preindustrial-like aerosols and their climate effects (ACE-SPACE)

J Schmale, A Baccarini, I Thurnherr… - Bulletin of the …, 2019 - journals.ametsoc.org
Overview of the Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition: Study of Preindustrial-like Aerosols
and Their Climate Effects (ACE-SPACE) in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society …